Idaho State vs. Sacramento State prediction: Idaho State favored to win men's college basketball matchup [3/2/2026]

Sacramento State will take on Idaho State, in what is expected to be a close men's college basketball game, at Hornet Pavilion on Monday, beginning at 10:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven college basketball model gives Idaho State a slight edge with a 54% win probability over Sacramento State.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's Idaho State vs. Sacramento State matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Idaho State vs. Sacramento State prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NCAA basketball matchup between Idaho State and Sacramento State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Idaho State a 54% chance of defeating Sacramento State. Our predicted final score has Idaho State winning 77-76.

According to our model, Sacramento State (+1.5) has a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 160.5 points has a 56% chance of staying under.

Idaho State vs. Sacramento State odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Idaho State	Sacramento State
Spread	-1.5 (+105)	+1.5 (-120)
Moneyline	-112	-102
Total	o160.5 (-110)	u160.5 (-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Idaho State vs. Sacramento State picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Idaho State -1.5	+105
Moneyline	Idaho State	-112
Total	Under 160.5	-108

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 160.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Idaho State vs. Sacramento State game-day updates and essential details

Monday's men's college basketball game between Sacramento State and Idaho State at Hornet Pavilion is scheduled to start at 10:00 PM ET.

• Who: Idaho State vs. Sacramento State
• Date: Monday, March 2, 2026
• Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: Hornet Pavilion

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Conclusion

We predict Idaho State, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat Sacramento State on Monday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Idaho State vs. Sacramento State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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