Houston Texans vs. Kansas City Chiefs updated prediction featuring Woody Marks, Rashee Rice [Week 14, 2025]

Dimers' latest NFL predictions are live for Kansas City Chiefs vs. Houston Texans in Week 14, with our model giving the Chiefs a 63% of winning.

As Sunday approaches, both teams have updated their injury reports. Some lineup calls are still undecided, and those could shape how each side approaches this AFC matchup.

Since our early Chiefs-Texans predictions, we’ve updated the win probabilities, score projections, and TD odds for Woody Marks, Rashee Rice, and others.

For the full simulation breakdown—including spreads, totals, touchdown probabilities, and the full list of player props—head to our Texans vs. Chiefs page.

What's changed? Houston vs. Kansas City updated predictions

Our NFL predictions model has been re-run with the newest available data, creating a clearer picture of how this Texans vs. Chiefs matchup stacks up. Here are the updated forecasts:

• Straight Up Win Probabilities: Texans 37%, Chiefs 63%
• Predicted Final Score: Texans 19-22 Chiefs
• Spread: Texans (+3.5) 50%, Chiefs (-3.5) 50%
• Total Points (41.5): Over 54%, Under 46%

As of December 4, 2025, these Texans-Chiefs figures reflect changes since our early-week simulation.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

New NFL player projections for Week 14 highlight the top candidates to find the end zone in Texans-Chiefs on Sunday:

Houston Texans

• Woody Marks: 39.1% probability
• Nico Collins: 35.3% probability
• Jayden Higgins: 22.7% probability

Kansas City Chiefs

• Rashee Rice: 42.7% probability
• Kareem Hunt: 41.8% probability
• Travis Kelce: 29.0% probability

Texans vs. Chiefs latest odds

The best current odds from the top sportsbooks in the US:

• Spread: Texans +3.5 (-115), Chiefs -3.5 (-102)
• Moneyline: Texans +160, Chiefs -180
• Total: Over/Under 41.5 (-115/-104)

Odds are correct at time of publication and are subject to change—track live updates via our NFL odds page.

Texans vs. Chiefs Week 14 details

The NFL Week 14 matchup between the Chiefs and Texans at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled for December 7, 2025.

• Who: Houston Texans vs. Kansas City Chiefs
• Date: Sunday, December 7, 2025
• Time: 8:20PM ET/5:20PM PT
• Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict the Chiefs, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat the Texans in Week 14 of the NFL season. Dimers.com will provide full game coverage closer to kickoff, so stay tuned for updates.

Enhanced by AI and automation, this article delivers quick, accurate insights on the Texans vs. Chiefs game, with human oversight maintaining high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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