Texans vs. Ravens prediction: Houston favored to win in NFL Week 5, 2025

The Baltimore Ravens and Houston Texans are scheduled to meet in Week 5 of the NFL season at M&T Bank Stadium on Sunday, with kickoff at 1:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model predicts the Texans as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Texans-Ravens game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Texans with a win probability of 56%, while the Ravens have 44%."

This gameday Texans vs. Ravens betting preview builds on my Texans vs. Ravens prediction that was published earlier in the week.

For expanded analysis of today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Texans vs. Ravens predictions page.

Texans vs. Ravens Predictions

Since our Texans-Ravens predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Texans and Ravens 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Texans a 56% chance of defeating the Ravens in Week 5 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Texans winning 21-20.

According to our model, the Ravens (+2.5) have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 41.5 points has a 54% chance of going over.

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 5 straight up picks.

Texans vs. Ravens odds

We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Texans	Ravens
Spread	-2.5 (-115)	+2.5 (-102)
Moneyline	-140	+124
Total	o41.5 (-105)	u41.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Texans vs. Ravens picks and best bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Texans vs. Ravens matchup is on the over/under.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best NFL picks and NFL best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Texans vs. Ravens TD scorers

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Texans vs. Ravens?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for today, Baltimore's Derrick Henry is most likely to score the first touchdown in Texans vs. Ravens.

Our projections give Henry a 15.3% chance of scoring the first TD at M&T Bank Stadium, while the Ravens running back is a 58.3% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.

First touchdown scorer predictions

Houston Texans

Player	First TD Probability
Woody Marks (RB)	9.7%
Nico Collins (WR)	9.6%
Nick Chubb (RB)	6.8%

Baltimore Ravens

Player	First TD Probability
Derrick Henry (RB)	15.3%
Zay Flowers (WR)	6.5%
Mark Andrews (TE)	4.7%

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Houston Texans

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Woody Marks (RB)	35.9%
Nico Collins (WR)	35.6%
Nick Chubb (RB)	26.7%

Baltimore Ravens

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Derrick Henry (RB)	58.3%
Zay Flowers (WR)	30.8%
Mark Andrews (TE)	23.6%

Texans vs Ravens player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Texans and Ravens. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our NFL player projections page now to access player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 5 games.

Texans vs. Ravens quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Texans' C.J. Stroud is projected to throw for more yards than the Ravens' Cooper Rush.

Texans rushing

Woody Marks, Nick Chubb and C.J. Stroud are projected to be the leading rushers for the Texans.

Player	Position
Woody Marks	RB
Nick Chubb	RB
C.J. Stroud	QB

Ravens rushing

Derrick Henry, Justice Hill and Zay Flowers are expected to lead the Ravens in rushing yards.

Player	Position
Derrick Henry	RB
Justice Hill	RB
Zay Flowers	WR

Texans receiving

Nico Collins, Christian Kirk, Dalton Schultz, Woody Marks and Xavier Hutchinson are projected to top the receiving yards for the Texans.

Player	Position
Nico Collins	WR
Christian Kirk	WR
Dalton Schultz	TE
Woody Marks	RB
Xavier Hutchinson	WR

Ravens receiving

Zay Flowers, Rashod Bateman, Mark Andrews, Isaiah Likely and Justice Hill are projected to lead the Ravens in receiving yards.

Player	Position
Zay Flowers	WR
Rashod Bateman	WR
Mark Andrews	TE
Isaiah Likely	TE
Justice Hill	RB

Texans vs. Ravens game-day updates and essential details

The NFL Week 5 matchup between the Ravens and Texans at M&T Bank Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Houston Texans vs. Baltimore Ravens
• Date: Sunday, October 5, 2025
• Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: M&T Bank Stadium

Dimers' full preview of this week's Texans vs. Ravens matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Texans vs. Ravens picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict the Texans, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Ravens in Week 5 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Texans vs. Ravens insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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