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Rockets vs. Wizards prediction: Houston to win, Kevin Durant projected for big game in Monday's NBA matchup [3/2/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Houston Rockets vs Washington Wizards predictions for NBA Monday.
The Washington Wizards will take on the favored Houston Rockets in NBA action at Capital One Arena on Monday, beginning at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Rockets as the most likely winner of the Rockets vs. Wizards game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Wizards lineup will feature players like Will Riley, Jaden Hardy and Tre Johnson, while the Rockets will be led by Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun and Amen Thompson.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Rockets vs. Wizards prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's NBA matchup between the Rockets and Wizards 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Rockets an 86% chance of defeating the Wizards. Our predicted final score has the Rockets winning 119-106.
According to our model, the Wizards (+14.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 225.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of going over.
Rockets vs. Wizards odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Rockets | Wizards |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -14.5 (-110) | +14.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -900 | +650 |
| Total | o225.5 (-110) | u225.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Rockets vs. Wizards picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Wizards +14.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Wizards | +650 |
| Total | Over 225.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Monday, the top play to make on this game is Wizards +14.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Rockets vs. Wizards player props
Betting on Rockets vs. Wizards NBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Capital One Arena.
Kevin Durant is expected to lead the Rockets with 28 points, 6 rebounds and 5 assists, while Will Riley is projected to have 16 points, 4 rebounds and 3 assists for the Wizards.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Rockets prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Rockets are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant | 28 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 49 |
| Alperen Sengun | 20 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 48 |
| Amen Thompson | 17 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 41 |
| Reed Sheppard | 16 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 33 |
| Tari Eason | 15 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 34 |
Wizards prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Wizards:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Riley | 16 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 29 |
| Jaden Hardy | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 19 |
| Tre Johnson | 11 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 20 |
| Bilal Coulibaly | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 23 |
| Kyshawn George | 10 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 22 |
Rockets vs. Wizards game-day updates and essential details
Monday's action between the Wizards and Rockets at Capital One Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Houston Rockets vs. Washington Wizards
- Date: Monday, March 2, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Capital One Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Rockets, with an 86% win probability, will likely beat the Wizards on Monday, with Kevin Durant projected for a game-high 49 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Rockets vs. Wizards insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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