Rockets vs. Spurs prediction: San Antonio to win, Kevin Durant projected for 26 points in Sunday's NBA game [3/8/2026]

The San Antonio Spurs and Houston Rockets are scheduled to meet in NBA action at Frost Bank Center on Sunday, with tipoff at 8:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Spurs as the most likely winner of the Rockets vs. Spurs game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Spurs lineup will feature stars like Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox and Stephon Castle, while the Rockets will look to Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun and Amen Thompson.

This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Rockets vs. Spurs prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NBA matchup between the Rockets and Spurs 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Spurs a 67% chance of defeating the Rockets. Our predicted final score has the Spurs winning 114-109.

According to our model, the Rockets (+5.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 223.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Rockets vs. Spurs odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Rockets vs. Spurs picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Rockets +5.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Rockets vs. Spurs player props

NBA player props are a popular way to wager on the Houston vs. San Antonio matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Frost Bank Center.

Kevin Durant is expected to lead the Rockets with 26 points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists, while Victor Wembanyama is projected to have 23 points, 10 rebounds and 3 assists for the Spurs.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Rockets prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Rockets are:

Spurs prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Spurs:

Rockets vs. Spurs game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's action between the Spurs and Rockets at Frost Bank Center is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET.

• Who: Houston Rockets vs. San Antonio Spurs
• Date: Sunday, March 8, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: Frost Bank Center

Conclusion

We predict the Spurs, with a 67% win probability, will likely beat the Rockets on Sunday, with Victor Wembanyama projected for a game-high 51 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Rockets vs. Spurs insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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