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Rockets vs. Spurs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Rockets vs. Spurs NBA game on March 8, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Rockets
120
145
Mar 9, 12AM Frost Bank Center
Spurs
Mar 9, 12AM Frost Bank Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM12 3 4 T
Rockets
33 24 37 18 120
Spurs
32 37 40 27 145
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
RocketsHOU
Win %
<1%
>99%
SpursSAS
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Rockets
33 24 37 18 120
Spurs
32 37 40 27 145
Q4 00:01 Rockets makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:32 Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:56 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:04 Carter Bryant makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:23 Aaron Holiday makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:31 Spurs makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:49 Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:53 Spurs makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:17 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:41 Spurs makes three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Q4 00:00
End of 4th Quarter.
Q4 00:01
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
112-136
Q4 00:05
Spurs turnover
Q4 00:28
Jordan McLaughlin defensive rebound
Q4 00:32
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:37
Bismack Biyombo turnover (Josh Okogie steals)
Q4 00:56
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
112-136
Q4 1:04
+3
Carter Bryant makes three point jump shot
112-136
Q4 1:23
Bismack Biyombo shooting foul (Aaron Holiday draws the foul)
Q4 1:23
+2
Aaron Holiday makes two point jump shot
112-136
Q4 1:23
+1
Aaron Holiday makes regular free throw 1 of 1
112-136
Q4 1:31
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
112-136
Q4 1:43
Bismack Biyombo defensive rebound
Q4 1:49
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:53
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
112-136
Q4 2:17
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
112-136
Q4 2:23
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 2:41
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
110-136
Q4 2:55
Spurs defensive rebound
Q4 2:55
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 2:56
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:14
+3
Carter Bryant makes three point jump shot
110-133
Q4 3:37
Aaron Holiday misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:37
Dylan Harper personal foul
Q4 3:37
Rockets offensive rebound
Q4 3:37
+1
Jeff Green makes regular free throw 1 of 2
110-133
Q4 3:37
Spurs lineup change (Lindy Waters III, Kelly Olynyk, Jordan McLaughlin, Carter Bryant, Bismack Biyombo)
Q4 3:37
+1
Jeff Green makes regular free throw 2 of 2
110-133
Q4 3:58
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
110-133
Q4 4:02
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Q4 4:06
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:13
Rockets 60 second timeout
Q4 4:13
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Devin Vassell)
Q4 4:13
Rockets lineup change (Dorian Finney-Smith, Josh Okogie, Aaron Holiday, Jeff Green, Isaiah Crawford)
Q4 4:13
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Carter Bryant)
Q4 4:20
+3
Stephon Castle makes three point jump shot (Luke Kornet assists)
108-128
Q4 4:28
De'Aaron Fox misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:28
Spurs offensive rebound
Q4 4:28
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 4:28
Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Devin Vassell)
Q4 4:42
+2
Kevin Durant makes two point jump shot (Amen Thompson assists)
108-125
Q4 4:54
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 4:54
Rockets defensive rebound
Q4 4:55
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:03
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Q4 5:05
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:11
Rockets offensive rebound
Q4 5:11
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 5:12
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:23
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Q4 5:26
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:40
Spurs personal foul
Q4 5:40
Rockets personal foul
Q4 5:40
Alperen Sengun turnover (offensive foul)
Q4 5:43
Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
Q4 5:46
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:56
Devin Vassell personal foul (Jabari Smith Jr. draws the foul)
Q4 5:56
Alperen Sengun misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:56
Rockets offensive rebound
Q4 6:11
Spurs personal foul
Q4 6:18
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
Q4 6:22
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
106-125
Q4 6:38
Rockets personal foul
Q4 6:38
Alperen Sengun turnover (offensive foul)
Q4 6:38
Spurs 60 second timeout
Q4 6:38
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant)
Q4 6:48
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
104-122
Q4 7:00
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
112-136
Q4 7:01
Tari Eason personal foul (Julian Champagnie draws the foul)
Q4 7:01
Tari Eason turnover
Q4 7:01
+2
Tari Eason makes two point layup
104-122
Q4 7:01
Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox, Luke Kornet, Devin Vassell)
Q4 7:02
Tari Eason offensive rebound
Q4 7:07
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:19
Reed Sheppard personal foul
Q4 7:19
Carter Bryant misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 7:19
Spurs offensive rebound
Q4 7:19
+1
Carter Bryant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
104-120
Q4 7:19
Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Carter Bryant, Devin Vassell)
Q4 7:19
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Tari Eason, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson)
Q4 7:19
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Q4 7:23
Tari Eason misses two point jump shot
Q4 7:35
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Q4 7:38
Carter Bryant misses three point jump shot
Q4 8:02
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
106-120
Q4 8:10
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
Q4 8:10
+2
De'Aaron Fox makes two point layup (Dylan Harper assists)
106-120
Q4 8:21
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 8:30
Spurs turnover
Q4 8:43
Spurs personal foul
Q4 8:43
Carter Bryant personal foul (Jabari Smith Jr. draws the foul)
Q4 8:43
+1
Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
101-117
Q4 8:43
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Carter Bryant, Devin Vassell)
Q4 8:43
Jabari Smith Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 8:43
Rockets offensive rebound
Q4 8:43
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Carter Bryant, Devin Vassell)
Q4 8:43
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Tari Eason, Jabari Smith Jr., Clint Capela, Amen Thompson)
Q4 9:04
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
100-117
Q4 9:17
Spurs defensive rebound
Q4 9:17
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 9:19
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q4 9:21
Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
Q4 9:24
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 9:31
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Q4 9:33
Devin Vassell misses two point jump shot
Q4 9:43
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Q4 9:46
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q4 10:00
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Q4 10:03
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q4 10:10
Rockets personal foul
Q4 10:19
Spurs defensive rebound
Q4 10:19
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 10:20
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q4 10:25
Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
Q4 10:28
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 10:37
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Q4 10:40
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q4 10:51
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
100-115
Q4 11:06
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
100-112
Q4 11:17
Rockets personal foul
Q4 11:17
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
97-111
Q4 11:17
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
97-112
Q4 11:34
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
96-110
Q4 11:34
Spurs personal foul
Q4 11:34
+1
Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 1
97-110
Q4 11:34
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Carter Bryant, Devin Vassell)
Q4 11:36
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Q4 11:38
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q3 00:00
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q3 00:00
Stephon Castle offensive rebound
Q3 00:00
Rockets personal foul
Q3 00:00
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
94-110
Q3 00:00
Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q3 00:00
Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
Q3 00:00
End of 3rd Quarter.
Q4 12:00
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Tari Eason, Jabari Smith Jr., Clint Capela, Aaron Holiday)
Q4 12:00
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Carter Bryant, Devin Vassell)
Q3 00:04
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Q3 00:08
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q3 00:26
Dorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound
Q3 00:28
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q3 00:30
De'Aaron Fox offensive rebound
Q3 00:34
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q3 00:37
Spurs personal foul
Q3 00:37
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
93-109
Q3 00:37
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
94-109
Q3 00:47
Rockets personal foul
Q3 00:47
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
92-108
Q3 00:47
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
92-109
Q3 00:47
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle)
Q3 00:59
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
Q3 1:00
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
92-107
Q3 1:03
Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
Q3 1:05
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q3 1:09
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Q3 1:12
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
106-122
Q3 1:12
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q3 1:30
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
90-107
Q3 1:48
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
90-105
Q3 1:52
Spurs turnover
Q3 2:07
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
88-105
Q3 2:11
Spurs turnover
Q3 2:26
Spurs personal foul
Q3 2:26
Rockets 60 second timeout
Q3 2:26
Rockets lineup change (Dorian Finney-Smith, Reed Sheppard, Clint Capela, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant)
Q3 2:26
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox)
Q3 2:26
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
85-105
Q3 2:26
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
86-105
Q3 2:31
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
84-105
Q3 2:44
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
84-103
Q3 2:51
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
82-103
Q3 3:13
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q3 3:13
Rockets defensive rebound
Q3 3:13
Rockets personal foul
Q3 3:13
Spurs personal foul
Q3 3:13
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
81-101
Q3 3:13
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
82-101
Q3 3:22
Stoppage (Other)
Q3 3:26
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
80-101
Q3 3:42
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
77-101
Q3 3:59
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
77-99
Q3 4:18
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
75-99
Q3 4:39
Spurs personal foul
Q3 4:39
+1
Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
74-96
Q3 4:39
+1
Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
75-96
Q3 4:39
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox, Luke Kornet)
Q3 4:41
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Q3 4:43
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q3 4:56
Spurs personal foul
Q3 4:56
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
73-96
Q3 4:56
Amen Thompson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q3 4:56
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet)
Q3 4:56
Spurs defensive rebound
Q3 4:56
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 5:04
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Q3 5:08
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q3 5:26
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
71-96
Q3 5:26
Spurs personal foul
Q3 5:26
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 1
72-96
Q3 5:45
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
69-96
Q3 6:02
Spurs personal foul
Q3 6:02
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
68-93
Q3 6:02
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
69-93
Q3 6:12
Spurs personal foul
Q3 6:12
Spurs 60 second timeout
Q3 6:12
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Devin Vassell)
Q3 6:22
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
67-93
Q3 6:35
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
67-91
Q3 6:57
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
65-91
Q3 7:05
Rockets turnover
Q3 7:16
Spurs personal foul
Q3 7:27
Rockets personal foul
Q3 7:27
Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q3 7:27
Spurs offensive rebound
Q3 7:27
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
65-89
Q3 7:39
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
65-88
Q3 8:04
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
63-88
Q3 8:17
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
63-85
Q3 8:28
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
61-85
Q3 8:42
Rockets turnover
Q3 8:55
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
61-82
Q3 8:55
Rockets personal foul
Q3 8:55
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 1
61-83
Q3 8:56
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Q3 8:58
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q3 9:17
Rockets personal foul
Q3 9:17
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
61-79
Q3 9:17
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
61-80
Q3 9:17
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant)
Q3 9:23
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
61-78
Q3 9:45
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
59-78
Q3 9:54
Amen Thompson offensive rebound
Q3 9:54
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q3 9:54
Spurs defensive rebound
Q3 9:54
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 9:56
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q3 10:17
Rockets personal foul
Q3 10:17
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
59-75
Q3 10:17
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
59-76
Q3 10:20
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Q3 10:23
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q3 10:38
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
59-74
Q3 10:44
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Q3 10:48
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q3 11:03
Rockets personal foul
Q3 11:03
Devin Vassell misses regular free throw 1 of 3
Q3 11:03
Spurs offensive rebound
Q3 11:03
Spurs offensive rebound
Q3 11:03
+1
Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 2 of 3
59-69
Q3 11:03
+1
Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 3 of 3
59-71
Q3 11:13
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Q3 11:13
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 11:14
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q3 11:18
Spurs turnover
Q3 11:39
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
59-69
Q2 00:00
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
57-69
Q2 00:00
Instant replay
Q2 00:00
End of 1st Half.
Q3 12:00
Rockets lineup change (Alperen Sengun, Tari Eason, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant)
Q3 12:00
Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Devin Vassell)
Q2 00:04
Rockets turnover
Q2 00:04
Rockets lineup change (Dorian Finney-Smith, Tari Eason, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant)
Q2 00:12
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
57-66
Q2 00:28
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
57-64
Q2 00:36
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
55-64
Q2 00:44
Rockets personal foul
Q2 00:50
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Q2 00:50
Spurs personal foul
Q2 00:50
Kevin Durant misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 00:50
Rockets offensive rebound
Q2 00:50
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
55-62
Q2 00:54
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q2 1:09
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Q2 1:13
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q2 1:30
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 1:30
Rockets lineup change (Dorian Finney-Smith, Reed Sheppard, Tari Eason, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant)
Q2 1:35
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Q2 1:39
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q2 1:47
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Q2 1:51
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:08
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Q2 2:12
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:21
Spurs defensive rebound
Q2 2:21
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 2:22
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q2 2:47
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
54-62
Q2 2:49
Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
Q2 2:51
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q2 3:04
Spurs personal foul
Q2 3:04
+1
Reed Sheppard makes regular free throw 1 of 2
53-60
Q2 3:04
+1
Reed Sheppard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
54-60
Q2 3:10
Spurs personal foul
Q2 3:19
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
52-60
Q2 3:35
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
52-58
Q2 3:45
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
49-58
Q2 4:01
Spurs 60 second timeout
Q2 4:01
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Jabari Smith Jr., Clint Capela, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant)
Q2 4:01
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Devin Vassell)
Q2 4:09
Rockets turnover
Q2 4:14
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Q2 4:17
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q2 4:32
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Q2 4:35
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q2 4:39
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q2 4:40
Rockets offensive rebound
Q2 4:40
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 4:40
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Devin Vassell)
Q2 4:56
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Q2 5:00
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q2 5:15
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
Q2 5:19
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
49-55
Q2 5:19
Spurs personal foul
Q2 5:19
Alperen Sengun misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Q2 5:37
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Q2 5:39
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q2 5:58
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
47-55
Q2 6:17
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
45-54
Q2 6:17
Rockets personal foul
Q2 6:17
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Carter Bryant, Devin Vassell)
Q2 6:17
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 1
45-55
Q2 6:22
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
Q2 6:26
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q2 6:45
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Q2 6:48
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q2 7:02
Spurs personal foul
Q2 7:02
+1
Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
44-52
Q2 7:02
+1
Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
45-52
Q2 7:02
Rockets lineup change (Alperen Sengun, Tari Eason, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant)
Q2 7:04
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q2 7:04
Rockets offensive rebound
Q2 7:04
Rockets lineup change (Alperen Sengun, Tari Eason, Josh Okogie, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson)
Q2 7:04
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Carter Bryant, Devin Vassell)
Q2 7:04
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 7:10
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Q2 7:13
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q2 7:29
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
43-52
Q2 7:46
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
41-52
Q2 8:05
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
41-50
Q2 8:22
Rockets 60 second timeout
Q2 8:23
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
39-50
Q2 8:36
Rockets turnover
Q2 8:42
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
39-47
Q2 8:46
Rockets turnover
Q2 9:04
Rockets personal foul
Q2 9:04
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
39-44
Q2 9:04
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Tari Eason, Josh Okogie, Jabari Smith Jr.)
Q2 9:04
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
39-45
Q2 9:09
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
39-43
Q2 9:34
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
37-43
Q2 9:36
Julian Champagnie offensive rebound
Q2 9:39
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q2 9:52
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
37-40
Q2 10:01
Spurs personal foul
Q2 10:01
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle)
Q2 10:03
Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
Q2 10:05
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q2 10:14
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
36-40
Q2 10:23
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
36-38
Q2 10:40
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
33-38
Q2 10:52
Rockets turnover
Q2 11:03
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
33-36
Q2 11:14
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Q2 11:17
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q2 11:29
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
33-34
Q2 11:48
Rockets personal foul
Q2 11:48
Alperen Sengun turnover (offensive foul)
Q1 00:00
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:00
Spurs offensive rebound
Q1 00:00
End of 1st Quarter.
Q2 12:00
Rockets lineup change (Dorian Finney-Smith, Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson)
Q1 00:02
Spurs turnover
Q1 00:02
Spurs personal foul
Q1 00:02
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
32-32
Q1 00:02
Rockets lineup change (Dorian Finney-Smith, Josh Okogie, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant)
Q1 00:02
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
33-32
Q1 00:02
Rockets lineup change (Tari Eason, Josh Okogie, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant)
Q1 00:15
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Q1 00:23
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
33-32
Q1 00:23
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:32
Rockets personal foul
Q1 00:32
De'Aaron Fox misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q1 00:32
Spurs offensive rebound
Q1 00:32
Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle)
Q1 00:32
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 2 of 2
31-32
Q1 00:32
Rockets lineup change (Dorian Finney-Smith, Reed Sheppard, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant)
Q1 00:42
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
31-31
Q1 00:44
Kevin Durant offensive rebound
Q1 00:47
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q1 1:00
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
29-31
Q1 1:14
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
29-29
Q1 1:26
Spurs personal foul
Q1 1:43
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
27-29
Q1 1:59
Rockets personal foul
Q1 1:59
Clint Capela turnover (offensive foul)
Q1 2:03
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Q1 2:07
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q1 2:19
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
27-26
Q1 2:25
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Q1 2:28
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q1 2:37
Spurs personal foul
Q1 2:37
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
24-26
Q1 2:37
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox)
Q1 2:37
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
25-26
Q1 2:42
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Q1 2:45
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q1 2:58
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
23-26
Q1 3:11
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
21-26
Q1 3:19
Spurs 60 second timeout
Q1 3:20
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
21-24
Q1 3:33
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Q1 3:37
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q1 3:44
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Q1 3:48
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q1 4:03
Spurs personal foul
Q1 4:03
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox, Luke Kornet, Carter Bryant)
Q1 4:06
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Q1 4:10
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q1 4:21
Rockets offensive rebound
Q1 4:21
Spurs personal foul
Q1 4:21
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
17-24
Q1 4:21
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
18-24
Q1 4:22
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q1 4:28
Dorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound
Q1 4:32
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q1 4:44
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
16-24
Q1 4:51
Spurs turnover
Q1 5:03
Spurs defensive rebound
Q1 5:03
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 5:05
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q1 5:20
Rockets personal foul
Q1 5:20
+1
Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 1 of 3
14-22
Q1 5:20
+1
Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 2 of 3
14-23
Q1 5:20
Rockets lineup change (Dorian Finney-Smith, Reed Sheppard, Clint Capela, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant)
Q1 5:20
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Devin Vassell)
Q1 5:20
+1
Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 3 of 3
14-24
Q1 5:35
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
14-21
Q1 5:59
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
12-21
Q1 6:19
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
12-18
Q1 6:36
Rockets 60 second timeout
Q1 6:36
Rockets lineup change (Dorian Finney-Smith, Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant)
Q1 6:37
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
9-18
Q1 6:45
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Q1 6:48
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q1 7:03
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
9-15
Q1 7:14
Spurs defensive rebound
Q1 7:14
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 7:14
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Devin Vassell)
Q1 7:16
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q1 7:38
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
9-12
Q1 7:46
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
9-10
Q1 8:09
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
7-10
Q1 8:32
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
7-8
Q1 8:39
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Q1 8:41
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q1 8:48
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Q1 8:51
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q1 9:14
Rockets lineup change (Dorian Finney-Smith, Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Tari Eason, Kevin Durant)
Q1 9:14
Dorian Finney-Smith shooting foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
Q1 9:14
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 1
4-8
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
Rockets
PosPlayerPts Reb Ast
G20 J. Okogie 0 0 0
F32 J. Green 7 0 0
F2 D. Finney-Smith 8 2 3
G0 A. Holiday 5 0 0
F27 I. Crawford 0 0 0
Spurs
PosPlayerPts Reb Ast
C18 B. Biyombo 0 1 0
F-C8 K. Olynyk 3 0 1
F11 C. Bryant 7 3 0
G0 J. McLaughlin 3 1 1
F43 L. Waters III 3 0 2

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Rockets vs. Spurs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Rockets vs. Spurs
  • Date: Sunday, March 8, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Frost Bank Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Spurs favored at -5.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 223.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Rockets +198, Spurs -225

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Rockets: 33%
  • Spurs: 67%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Rockets 109-114 Spurs.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Rockets a win probability of 33%, while the Spurs have a win probability of 67%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Spurs are more likely to beat the Rockets in the NBA game at Frost Bank Center on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Rockets vs. Spurs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.

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