Rockets vs. Knicks prediction: New York to win, Kevin Durant projected for big game in Saturday's NBA matchup [2/21/2026]

NBA action continues on Saturday at 8:30 PM ET as the Houston Rockets take on the New York Knicks at Madison Square Garden.

Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Knicks as the most likely winner of the Rockets vs. Knicks game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Knicks lineup will feature stars like Jalen Brunson, Karl-Anthony Towns and OG Anunoby, while the Rockets will look to Kevin Durant, Amen Thompson and Alperen Sengun.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Rockets vs. Knicks prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NBA game between the Rockets and Knicks 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Knicks a 64% chance of beating the Rockets. Our predicted final score has the Knicks winning 112-108.

According to our model, the Knicks (-3.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 220.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Rockets vs. Knicks odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Rockets vs. Knicks picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our best NBA bets for Saturday, the top play to make on this game is Knicks to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Rockets vs. Knicks player props

Looking for Rockets vs. Knicks NBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Madison Square Garden.

Kevin Durant is expected to lead the Rockets with 26 points, 5 rebounds and 4 assists, while Jalen Brunson is projected to have 26 points, 3 rebounds and 6 assists for the Knicks.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Rockets prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Rockets are:

Knicks prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Knicks:

Rockets vs. Knicks game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's matchup between the Knicks and Rockets at Madison Square Garden is scheduled to start at 8:30 PM ET.

• Who: Houston Rockets vs. New York Knicks
• Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026
• Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
• Venue: Madison Square Garden

Conclusion

We predict the Knicks, with a 64% win probability, will likely beat the Rockets on Saturday, with Kevin Durant projected for a game-high 45 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Rockets vs. Knicks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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