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Astros vs. Padres Prediction: Tight Battle Projected in Updated Analysis for Wednesday's MLB Game [9/18/2024]

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Written by Dave Garofolo
Houston Astros-San Diego Padres Predictions and Game Preview.
PETCO Park sets the stage for the MLB matchup between the Houston Astros and San Diego Padres this Wednesday.

MLB action continues on Wednesday at 6:40PM ET as the Houston Astros square off with the San Diego Padres at PETCO Park.

Dylan Cease (13-11, 3.58 ERA) will be the starting pitcher for the Padres, while the Astros have opted for Framber Valdez (14-6, 2.91 ERA).

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Padres as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Astros-Padres game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"With the latest updates and numerous other variables, we estimate the Padres' chance of winning at 51%, with the Astros at 49%."

Astros vs. Padres Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Wednesday's MLB action between the Padres and Astros at PETCO Park is scheduled to start at 6:40PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Wednesday's Astros vs. Padres matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Padres vs. Astros picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Astros vs. Padres Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's MLB game between the Astros and Padres 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Padres a 51% chance of defeating the Astros.

According to our model, the Padres (+1.5) have a 64% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 6.5 runs has a 59% chance of going over.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 9:44PM, Sep 18
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Astros
Win %
49%
51%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
Padres
Astros HOU
Win %
49%
51%
See Matchup
Padres SD
Framber Valdez 14-6, 2.91 ERA
Dylan Cease 13-11, 3.58 ERA
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro

Astros vs. Padres Odds [9/18/2024]

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Astros Padres
Run Line -1.5 (+170) +1.5 (-192)
Moneyline -105 -110
Total o6.5 (-120) u6.5 (+102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Astros vs. Padres Picks

Our model's strongest edge in today's Astros vs. Padres matchup is on the run line.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best MLB picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Get Every Astros vs. Padres Bet and Pick
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Calling Our Shot: Best Bets Video

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the best bets featured below.

Conclusion

We predict the Padres, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat the Astros on Wednesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Astros vs. Padres insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on MLB

Keep up with the latest MLB betting news and our data-driven MLB best bets and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds provide the most up-to-date projections for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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