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Astros vs. Orioles prediction: Baltimore favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [8/24/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles predictions for MLB Sunday.

Houston Astros-Baltimore Orioles Predictions and Game Preview.
Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB prediction for Sunday, August 24, 2025.

The Baltimore Orioles and Houston Astros are scheduled to meet in MLB action at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Sunday, starting at 1:35PM ET.

Trevor Rogers (6-2, 1.42 ERA) will be on the bump for the Orioles, while the Astros will counter with Spencer Arrighetti (1-4, 6.94 ERA).

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model predicts the Orioles as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Astros-Orioles game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Orioles with a win probability of 52%, while the Astros have 48%."

For expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Astros vs. Orioles predictions page.

Orioles vs. Astros prediction: Who will win, cover the run line?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's MLB game between the Astros and Orioles 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Orioles a 52% chance of beating the Astros.

According to our model, the Astros (+1.5) have a 65% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 9 runs has a 51% chance of staying under.

 

Astros vs. Orioles odds [8/24/2025]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Astros Orioles
Run Line +1.5 (-175) -1.5 (+147)
Moneyline +115 -132
Total o9 (-108) u9 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Astros vs. Orioles picks and best bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Astros vs. Orioles matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Calling Our Shot's best bets today

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the latest free picks featured below.

Astros vs. Orioles game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's MLB matchup between the Orioles and Astros at Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled to commence at 1:35PM ET.

Dimers.com's full preview of Sunday's Astros vs. Orioles matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Astros vs. Orioles picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Orioles, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat the Astros on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Astros vs. Orioles insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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More on MLB

Stay up-to-date with the latest MLB news and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds offer the most accurate probabilities for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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