Home Run Parlay: Two hitters to back for a HR today, Saturday, April 18

It's a full MLB betting slate on Saturday, April 18 and we're breaking out the MLB player props and home run predictions from the Dimers model to find the best hitters to back for a +2811 home run parlay bet today.

All season long, you'll find these player prop insights in Dimers Pro, here on Dimers.com and in the Dimers App, the ultimate companion tool for MLB bettors. If you don't have Dimers Pro, you can sign up right here for a three-day free trial today, or by tapping on the card below.

MLB home run parlay bet today, Saturday, April 18

Combining our hitter and pitcher projections with our MLB player prop tool and even our early-season MLB trends is an ideal way to narrow down a full slate of players to a handful of top targets who can take advantage of their matchup, which is precisely how we've identified this pair of home run hitters today.

1. Andy Pages (Dodgers) to hit a home run (+540)

Game: Dodgers vs. Rockies

Time: 8:10 PM ET

First up, we're heading to Coors Field for a shot on the Dodgers' hottest hitter to start the year, Andy Pages.

Pages has racked up 5 HR and a 1.144 OPS through his first 19 games of the season, ranking very first in the National League in Hits, RBI and SLG.

Tonight, he gets a 16.9% chance to hit a home run, which would be fair odds at +490, with his best price at +600 on DraftKings as of publishing.

He gets a matchup with the Rockies' Ryan Feltner, whose Barrel rate is in the lowest 2nd percentile of all qualified MLB pitchers, and he's given up 3 HR to righthanded hitters so far. Pages is hitting righthanders with a .698 SLG and 4 home runs through 53 AB, and has hit all three of Feltner's top pitches vs. righties well this year, lining him up for a great matchup tonight.

Our value play on Andy Pages, featuring a 2.6% edge at his best odds.

2. Jo Adell (Angels) to hit a home run (+340)

Game: Padres vs. Angels

Time: 9:38PM ET

For our second home run bet, we're targeting the latest game of the night, a SoCal matchup between the Padres and Angels.

Both teams are starting vulnerable starters, but the Padres will trot out German Marquez who's given up 5 HR so far this season, 2 in one game and 3 in another. He was excellent in his one other start, but the multi-HR games are concerning for the veteran.

He has pretty even splits vs. both sides of the plate, so we're looking at the highest probability HR hitter in this game based on the Dimers data, Jo Adell with a 17.3% probability.

Adell has 3 HR so far this season. They've all come off lefties, but this is a slugger who hit 30 of his 37 bombs last year off RHP and should find that rhythm again. 

He seized vulnerable pitching and great weather in Yankee Stadium this week, with another similar setup in Angel Stadium on Saturday.

Dimers' top home run probabilities in Padres-Angels.

MLB home run parlay at +2811 odds

For a bigger payout at a higher risk, you can bet these home run props as a parlay at total odds of +2811 on DraftKings Sportsbook, returning $291.11 off a $10 bet, where you can utilize a profit boost for even better odds.

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