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Melbourne Demons vs. Hawthorn Hawks Prediction: Hawks Predicted to Win Friday's AFL Round 9 Matchup [5/9/2025]

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Written by Damien Souness

Our expert prediction for Friday's Melbourne Demons vs Hawthorn Hawks matchup.

Melbourne Demons-Hawthorn Hawks Predictions and Game Preview.
Melbourne Cricket Ground sets the stage for the AFL matchup between the Melbourne Demons and Hawthorn Hawks this Friday.

The Melbourne Demons and Hawthorn Hawks will meet in the Australian Football League (AFL) at Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday, starting at 11:20PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven AFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Hawks as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Employing the latest data, our experts simulated Friday's Hawthorn-Melbourne game 10,000 times," said Ryan Leaver from Dimers.

"After computing the latest updates and thousands of other inputs, we predict the Hawks' chance of winning is 77%, while the Demons' is 23%."

For further insights into Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Hawks vs. Demons predictions page.

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Demons vs. Hawks Prediction: Who Will Win Round 9 Game?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's AFL game between the Hawks and Demons 10,000 times as part of our AFL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Hawks a 77% chance of beating the Demons.

According to our model, the Demons (+20.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 170.5- over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 10:30AM, May 9
Moneyline
Spread
Over / Under
Hawks
Win %
77%
23%
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See Matchup
Demons
Hawks HAW
Win %
77%
23%
See Matchup
Demons MEL
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Hawthorn vs. Melbourne Odds

We have sourced the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Hawks Demons
H2H (Moneyline) -455 +310
Line (Spread) -20.5 (-115) +20.5 (-115)
Total o170.5 (-120) u170.5 (-120)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Demons vs. Hawks Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Friday's Australian rules football action between the Demons and Hawks at Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 11:20PM ET.

  • Who: Hawthorn Hawks vs. Melbourne Demons
  • Date: Friday, May 9, 2025
  • Time: 11:20PM ET/8:20PM PT
  • Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground

The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Friday's Hawks vs. Demons matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Hawthorn vs. Melbourne picks, be sure to check out the latest AFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Hawks, with a 77% win probability, will likely beat the Demons on Friday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Hawks vs. Demons insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on AFL

Stay informed with the latest AFL betting news and parlay picks throughout the season.

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Written by
Damien Souness
Chief Innovation Officer

Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.

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