Hawaii vs. Arkansas prediction: Why Arkansas is favored to win men's March Madness First Round matchup [3/19/2026]

Arkansas and Hawaii are scheduled to meet in March Madness First Round action at Moda Center on Thursday, starting at 4:27 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts Arkansas as the most likely winner of the Hawaii vs. Arkansas game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Hawaii vs. Arkansas prediction: Who will win and advance to the Second Round?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NCAAM Tournament game between Hawaii and Arkansas 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Arkansas a 95% chance of beating Hawaii. Our predicted final score has Arkansas winning 88-68.

According to our model, Hawaii (+20.5) has a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 158.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.

Hawaii vs. Arkansas odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Hawaii	Arkansas
Spread	+20.5 (-120)	-20.5 (-110)
Moneyline	+1600	-1100
Total	o158.5 (-105)	u158.5 (-114)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Hawaii vs. Arkansas picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Hawaii +20.5	-120
Moneyline	Hawaii	+1600
Total	Under 158.5	-114

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Hawaii to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Hawaii vs. Arkansas game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's men's college basketball action between Arkansas and Hawaii at Moda Center is scheduled to start at 4:27 PM ET.

• Who: Hawaii vs. Arkansas
• Date: Thursday, March 19, 2026
• Time: 4:27 PM ET/1:27PM PT
• Venue: Moda Center
• March Madness stage: First Round

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Conclusion

We predict Arkansas, with a 95% win probability, will likely beat Hawaii this men's March Madness First Round matchup.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Hawaii vs. Arkansas insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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