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Warriors vs. Grizzlies prediction: Why Golden State is favored to win Wednesday's NBA matchup [2/25/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies predictions for NBA Wednesday.
The Memphis Grizzlies will take on the Golden State Warriors in NBA action at FedExForum on Wednesday, beginning at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model projects the Warriors as the most likely winner of the Warriors vs. Grizzlies game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Grizzlies lineup will feature players like Ty Jerome, GG Jackson and Jaylen Wells, while the Warriors will be led by Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski and Gui Santos.
This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Warriors vs. Grizzlies prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NBA matchup between the Warriors and Grizzlies 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Warriors a 62% chance of beating the Grizzlies. Our predicted final score has the Warriors winning 115-111.
According to our model, the Grizzlies (+3.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 226.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Warriors vs. Grizzlies odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Warriors | Grizzlies |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -3.5 (-115) | +3.5 (+100) |
| Moneyline | -178 | +150 |
| Total | o226.5 (-114) | u226.5 (-106) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Warriors vs. Grizzlies picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Grizzlies +3.5 | +100 |
| Moneyline | Grizzlies | +150 |
| Total | Under 226.5 | -106 |
According to our best NBA bets for Wednesday, the top play to make on this game is Grizzlies +3.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Warriors vs. Grizzlies player props
Betting on Golden State vs. Memphis NBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at FedExForum.
Moses Moody is expected to lead the Warriors with 16 points, 4 rebounds and 2 assists, while Ty Jerome is projected to have 16 points, 3 rebounds and 4 assists for the Grizzlies.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Warriors prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Warriors are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moses Moody | 16 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 31 |
| B. Podziemski | 16 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 38 |
| Gui Santos | 15 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 36 |
| Pat Spencer | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 29 |
| Al Horford | 10 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 30 |
Grizzlies prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Grizzlies:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Jerome | 16 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 31 |
| GG Jackson | 14 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 28 |
| Jaylen Wells | 12 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 23 |
| O. Prosper | 12 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 25 |
| Scotty Pippen | 11 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 26 |
Warriors vs. Grizzlies game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's matchup between the Grizzlies and Warriors at FedExForum is scheduled to commence at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Golden State Warriors vs. Memphis Grizzlies
- Date: Wednesday, February 25, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: FedExForum
Conclusion
We predict the Warriors, with a 62% win probability, will likely beat the Grizzlies on Wednesday, with Brandin Podziemski projected for a game-high 38 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Warriors vs. Grizzlies insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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