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Girona vs. Atletico Madrid prediction, odds, La Liga picks [12/21/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer
Get Girona vs Atletico Madrid predictions for La Liga Sunday.
Girona will square off with Atletico Madrid in La Liga action at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi on Sunday, starting at 8:00 AM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven La Liga model predicts Atletico Madrid as the most likely winner of the Girona vs. Atletico Madrid game.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Girona vs. Atletico Madrid prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's La Liga match between Girona and Atletico Madrid 10,000 times as part of our La Liga predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 23.5% chance of Girona winning, a 52.6% chance for Atletico Madrid, and a 23.9% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 53% chance of going over, according to our model.
Girona vs. Atletico Madrid odds
We have researched the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Girona | Atletico Madrid | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +410 | -135 | +280 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -120 | -102 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Girona vs. Atletico Madrid picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Girona | +410 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -120 |
According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Girona to win.
Girona vs. Atletico Madrid: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scoresaccording to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| GIR 1-1 ATM | 11.3% |
| GIR 0-1 ATM | 10.7% |
| GIR 1-2 ATM | 9.7% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 53.7% chance of the yes hitting, and a 46.3% probability of at least one team being held goalless.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Girona vs. Atletico Madrid game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's La Liga action between Girona and Atletico Madrid at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi is scheduled to start in the United States at 8:00 AM ET.
- Who: Girona vs. Atletico Madrid
- Date: Sunday, December 21, 2025
- Time: 8:00 AM ET/5:00AM PT
- Venue: Estadio Municipal de Montilivi
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Girona has a 23.5% win probability on Sunday, Atletico Madrid has a 52.6% win probability, and there is a 23.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Girona vs. Atletico Madrid insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
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