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Girona vs. Atletico Madrid prediction, odds, La Liga picks [12/21/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer
Get Girona vs Atletico Madrid predictions for La Liga Sunday.
La Liga action continues on Sunday at 8:00 AM ET as Atletico Madrid squares off with Girona at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven La Liga model projects Atletico Madrid as the most likely winner of the Girona vs. Atletico Madrid game.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Girona vs. Atletico Madrid prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's La Liga match between Girona and Atletico Madrid 10,000 times as part of our La Liga predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model suggests a 21.9% chance of Girona winning, a 54.6% chance for Atletico Madrid, and a 23.5% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 53% chance of going over, according to our model.
Girona vs. Atletico Madrid odds
We have sourced the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Girona | Atletico Madrid | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +390 | -140 | +310 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -134 | +110 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Girona vs. Atletico Madrid picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Girona | +390 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +110 |
According to our best La Liga bets, the top play to make on this game is Girona to win.
Girona vs. Atletico Madrid: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scoresaccording to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| GIR 1-1 ATM | 11.1% |
| GIR 0-1 ATM | 10.9% |
| GIR 1-2 ATM | 9.8% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 52.9% chance that both teams scoring, and a 47.1% probability of at least one team being held goalless.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Girona vs. Atletico Madrid game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's La Liga action between Girona and Atletico Madrid at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi is scheduled to start in the United States at 8:00 AM ET.
- Who: Girona vs. Atletico Madrid
- Date: Sunday, December 21, 2025
- Time: 8:00 AM ET/5:00AM PT
- Venue: Estadio Municipal de Montilivi
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Girona has a 21.9% win probability on Sunday, Atletico Madrid has a 54.6% win probability, and there is a 23.5% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Girona vs. Atletico Madrid insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
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