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Gabriel Diallo vs. Alex de Minaur prediction, odds, picks for ATP Paris Masters 2025
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Diallo vs de Minaur predictions for ATP Paris Masters.
Gabriel Diallo will face Alex de Minaur in the round of 32 at the ATP Paris event on Wednesday.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Alex de Minaur as the most likely winner of the Diallo vs. de Minaur match.
This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Diallo vs. de Minaur prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's Diallo-de Minaur men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives de Minaur a 73% chance of winning against Diallo at the ATP Paris Masters tournament.
Additionally, de Minaur has a 68% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show de Minaur (-3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 58% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Gabriel Diallo vs. Alex de Minaur odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Diallo | de Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +274 | -333 |
| First Set | +200 | -250 |
| Game Spread | -3.5 (-126) | +3.5 (-108) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-104) | u22.5 (-126) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Diallo vs. de Minaur picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Diallo | +274 |
| First Set | de Minaur | -126 |
According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is Gabriel Diallo to win the first set.
Diallo vs. de Minaur updates and essential details
The ATP Paris Masters match between Gabriel Diallo and Alex de Minaur is scheduled to commence on Wednesday at 3:00PM ET.
- Who: Gabriel Diallo vs. Alex de Minaur
- Date: Wednesday, October 29, 2025
- Approx. Time: 3:00PM ET/12:00PM PT
- Tournament: ATP Paris, France Men's Singles 2025
- Round: Round of 32
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Alex de Minaur, with a 73% win probability, will likely beat Gabriel Diallo at the ATP Paris Masters tournament.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Diallo vs. de Minaur insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on Tennis
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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