Four NFL player props backed by perfect trends on NFL Sunday in Week 13 feature Christian McCaffrey

Week 13 in the NFL is here and we are ready to roll with our best NFL Bets, Player Props Picks, Touchdowns and more for NFL Sunday.

Dimers' NFL Predictions reveal a number of valuable betting opportunities, and using our NFL Trends tool, a key part of our comprehensive suite of Dimers Pro NFL features, we've identified four strong player prop trends supported by both historical performances and predictions from our data-backed NFL simulations.

Each of these trends has hit at a perfect 100% hit rate over each player's last five games at minimum, presenting four players supported by both data and historical performances.

Here are four NFL trends to put on your betting radar for Sunday's Week 13 games.

Four Must-Bet NFL Trends in Week 13

Prop Bet: Christian McCaffrey (49ers) over 38.5 receiving yards

Season trend: 12 of 12

Current trend: 12 of last 12

The first trend we're looking at has hit at a 100% rate this season, going over in every single game as Christian McCaffrey closes in on his second 1,000-yard receiving season.

McCaffrey has at least 40 receiving yards in every game, and 50+ in 10 of 12. He's never seen fewer than 6 targets in a game and even cleared when he caught just three passes in Week 8.

He faces a strong Browns team this weekend that allows a middle-of-the-league 29.1 receiving yards per game to RBs, but there is simply no other back like McCaffrey in the league.

The Dimers model projects CMC to go just over this mark with 39.7 receiving yards on Sunday.

For more, check out our full player projections for Browns vs. 49ers.

Prop Bet: Tyjae Spears (Titans) over 17.5 receiving yards

Season trend: 6 of 7

Current trend: 6 of last 6

We featured this trend last week and it cashed with ease, now hitting in six straight games for Tyjae Spears.

The only game Spears didn't clear this mark was in his first game of the season in which he saw 0 targets. Since then, he's seen at least 3 in every game, catching all but 2 of the 24 passes thrown his way over the past six weeks, with his season high of 5 targets in back-to-back games.

Spears has burst, evidenced by long plays of double-digit yards in all but one game this season. The Dimers model projects him for 2.7 receptions and 20.1 receiving yards vs. the Jaguars who allow 37.7 receiving yards per game to RBs, 8th-worst in the NFL.

Check out our Titans vs. Jaguars prediction for more data and insights.

Prop Bet: Tony Pollard (Titans) under 11.5 rushing attempts

Season trend: 6 of 11

Current trend: 6 of last 6

Correlating with the previous trend is another in the Titans backfield, but it's negatively impacting Tony Pollard's workload.

Since Spears' second game back, Tony Pollard has not carried the ball at least 12 times in any game - he did so in each of his first five games of the season.

He's been inefficient, and that's opened the door for Tyjae Spears' usage to cut into his carries, especially on a Titans team that spends most of its games trailing and abandoning the run as they play from behind.

Prop Bet: Josh Allen (Bills) under 6.5 rushing attempts

Season trend: 8 of 11

Current trend: 6 of last 6

Though he's known for getting the job done with his legs as well as his arm, Josh Allen has not been a high-volume rusher over the Bills' current six-game stretch.

After toting the ball at least 7 times in three of his first five games, he hasn't gone over 6 carries, kneel downs included, since Week 6, even though he's scored 7 TDs in that span.

The Bills have passed with extreme prejudice lately, over 30 attempts for Allen in three straight games, as well as let James Cook continue to operate in a workhorse role out of the backfield.

This week, they'll face a Steelers defense allowing the most passing yards per game at 277.6, as well as just 3.6 carries and 13.6 rushing yards per game to QBs. Expect the Bills to attack the Steelers through the air with Allen's 31.4 rushing yards projection from the Dimers model, pointing below his season average.

Get more player projections for Bills vs. Steelers..

Why Not Parlay these Player Props?

All backed by a 100% hit rate over at least the past five games, these NFL player prop bets are backed by strong trends and supported by the Dimers NFL simulation data.

Bettors can play each bet as a straight wager, or entertain a trends-backed NFL parlay with a combination of two or three legs.

Most sportsbooks don't allow unders on Rushing Attempts to be parlayed with other props in the same game, so you may not be able to play all four together, as we have two props on Titans players.

Dimers' NFL Betting Resources for the 2025-26 Season

• NFL Week 13 Predictions: Our data-backed previews for every Week 13 matchup
• NFL Best Bets: Our Top Picks for every game, every week
• NFL Projections: BRAND NEW Player Projections Hub
• The Dimers Sports Betting Podcast: Watch the latest episode
• Super Bowl Odds: Who will hoist the Lombardi Trophy?
• Best NFL Props: Player edges and projections from our predictive analytics model
• NFL Betting News: The latest promos, storylines and more around the league

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