Four NFL player props backed by perfect trends on NFL Sunday in Week 11 feature Travis Kelce

Week 11 in the NFL is here and we are ready to roll with our best NFL Bets, Player Props Picks, Touchdowns and more for NFL Sunday.

Dimers' NFL Predictions reveal a number of valuable betting opportunities, and using our NFL Trends tool, a key part of our comprehensive suite of Dimers Pro NFL features, we've identified four strong player prop trends supported by both historical performances and predictions from our data-backed NFL simulations.

And what's even better, is each of these trends has hit at a perfect 100% hit rate over each player's last five games, presenting four players supported by both data and historical performances.

Here are four NFL trends to put on your betting radar for Sunday's Week 11 games.

Four Must-Bet NFL Trends in Week 11

Prop Bet: Cade Otton Over 37.5 Receiving Yards

Trend: 5 of Last 5

Our first player prop trend is the only one in a 1PM ET game, targeting TE Cade Otton of the Buccaneers.

The Bucs have been ravaged by injuries lately and Otton has been a safety net for Baker Mayfield, tallying at least 40 receiving yards in five straight games, even clearing 50 in four of those.

He's seen at least five targets in each game, and has knocked out a chunk play of 20+ yards in four of five, getting half his required total in a single play.

Our model projects him for 40.7 this afternoon, making it six straight games to the over.

Check out our Bucs vs. Bills prediction for more data and insights.

Prop Bet: Travis Kelce Over 42.5 receiving yards

Trend: 5 of Last 

We'll stick with another tight end for our second player prop target, and it's on future Hall-of-Fame TE Travis Kelce , who is actually over this mark in six straight games, and all but one this season.

He's not putting up his previously dominant numbers, but Patrick Mahomes looks for Kelce consistently, sending him 5+ targets in all but one game on his current streak, and he's recorded a long catch of 28+ yards in each of his past three games.

Kelce's projection is modest, just 44.2 receiving yards, but it is over his total as we project him to make it seven straight on the year.

For more, check out our full player projections for Chiefs vs. Broncos.

Prop Bet: Sam Darnold Under 3.5 Rushing Yards

Trend: 5 of Last 5

Our next two props share more than one common thread - they are both on QBs, both rushing props and both unders.

First up is Sam Darnold who may be giving his redemption season with the Vikings last year a run for its money as he leads the Seahawks into a clash of titans with the Rams.

Darnold is not a rushing QB, only scrambling when he needs to and he's under this mark in all but two games this season, and both came in the first month.

He has four games with 0 carries, and has seen kneel downs take him under this total more than once.

High Variance could cause him to go over this number, as it only takes one real scramble to hit a line this low, but he's a pocket passer who may not have much room to move against a strong Rams front.

Get predictions and data for this matchup between the Seahawks and Rams.

Prop Bet: Jalen Hurts Under 7.5 Rushing Attempts

Trend: 5 of Last 5

For our final player prop trend, we're going with a trend that might surprise you, but Eagles QB Jalen Hurts has gone under eight carries in his last five games.

Even the Tush Push hasn't put Hurts over as the Eagles find a more balanced attack, causing Hurts to top out at 7 carries since Week 4, and 5 or fewer carries in four games on this current streak.

We do project Hurts for 32.9 rushing yards, but that's not necessarily indicative of his attempts, which are currently trending under today's posted mark.

Get more player projections for Lions-Eagles in our complete Sunday Night Football predictions.

Why Not Parlay these Player Props?

All backed by a 100% hit rate over the past five games, these NFL player prop bets are backed by strong trends and supported by the Dimers NFL simulation data.

Bettors can play each bet as a straight wager, or entertain a trends-backed NFL parlay that would pay out at impressive odds of +1112 which would return over $300 off a $25 bet.

Dimers' NFL Betting Resources for the 2025-26 Season

• NFL Week 11 Predictions: Our data-backed previews for every Week 11 matchup
• NFL Best Bets: Our Top Picks for every game, every week
• NFL Projections: BRAND NEW Player Projections Hub
• The Dimers Sports Betting Podcast: Watch the latest episode
• Super Bowl Odds: Who will hoist the Lombardi Trophy?
• Best NFL Props: Player edges and projections from our predictive analytics model
• NFL Betting News: The latest promos, storylines and more around the league

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