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Florida vs. Mississippi State prediction: Why Mississippi State is favored to win NCAAW matchup [2/19/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Florida vs Mississippi State predictions for college basketball Thursday.
Mississippi State will face Florida in women's college basketball action at Humphrey Coliseum on Thursday, starting at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' new women's basketball model predicts Mississippi State as the most likely winner of the Florida vs. Mississippi State game.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Florida vs. Mississippi State prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's women's basketball game between Florida and Mississippi State 10,000 times as part of our women's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives Mississippi State a 78% chance of beating Florida.
According to our model, the over/under total of 146.5 points has a 51% chance of going over.
Florida vs. Mississippi State odds
We have researched the best women's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Florida | Mississippi State |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +6.5 (-114) | -6.5 (-114) |
| Moneyline | +260 | -275 |
| Total | o146.5 (-110) | u146.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Florida vs. Mississippi State picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Mississippi State -6.5 | -114 |
| Moneyline | Mississippi State | -275 |
| Total | Over 146.5 | -110 |
According to our women's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mississippi State to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Florida vs. Mississippi State game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's women's basketball game between Mississippi State and Florida at Humphrey Coliseum is scheduled to commence at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Florida vs. Mississippi State
- Date: Thursday, February 19, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Humphrey Coliseum
Conclusion
We predict Mississippi State, with a 78% win probability, will likely beat Florida on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Florida vs. Mississippi State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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