Panthers vs. Maple Leafs prediction: Why Florida is favored to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [1/6/2026]

NHL action continues on Tuesday at 7:30 PM ET as the Florida Panthers lock horns with the Toronto Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model gives the Panthers a slight edge with a 53% win probability over the Maple Leafs.

This article offers further insights into Tuesday's Panthers vs. Maple Leafs matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Panthers vs. Maple Leafs prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's NHL game between the Panthers and Maple Leafs 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Panthers a 53% chance of defeating the Maple Leafs.

According to our model, the Maple Leafs (+1.5) have a 68% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of six goals has a 52% chance of going over.

Panthers vs. Maple Leafs odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Panthers	Maple Leafs
Puck Line	-1.5 (+185)	+1.5 (-225)
Moneyline	-130	+114
Total	o6 (-110)	u6 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Panthers vs. Maple Leafs picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Maple Leafs +1.5	-225
Moneyline	Maple Leafs	+114
Total	Over 6	-110

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Maple Leafs to win.

Panthers vs. Maple Leafs player props

Who will score a goal in Panthers vs. Maple Leafs?

According to our model, Auston Matthews is most likely to score an anytime goal in Panthers vs. Maple Leafs.

Our projections give Matthews a 46.6% chance of scoring a goal at Scotiabank Arena, while the star is a 10.0% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Florida Panthers

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Sam Reinhart	44.4%
Brad Marchand	34.1%
Sam Bennett	34.1%
Carter Verhaeghe	25.5%
Anton Lundell	22.4%

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Auston Matthews	46.6%
John Tavares	30.8%
Matthew Knies	26.8%
Bobby McMann	26.7%
Matias Maccelli	18.4%

First goal scorer predictions

Florida Panthers

Player	First Goal Probability
Sam Reinhart	9.2%
Sam Bennett	6.8%
Brad Marchand	6.2%
Anton Lundell	4.2%
Carter Verhaeghe	4.0%

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player	First Goal Probability
Auston Matthews	10.0%
John Tavares	6.4%
Bobby McMann	5.3%
Matthew Knies	5.0%
Matias Maccelli	3.2%

Panthers vs. Maple Leafs game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's matchup between the Maple Leafs and Panthers at Scotiabank Arena is scheduled to start at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: Florida Panthers vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
• Date: Tuesday, January 6, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: Scotiabank Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Panthers, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat the Maple Leafs on Tuesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Panthers vs. Maple Leafs insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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