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Read Article Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Prediction: Florida Predicted to Win Sunday's NHL Matchup [5/18/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Our expert prediction for Sunday's Florida Panthers vs Toronto Maple Leafs matchup.
The Toronto Maple Leafs will square off with the Florida Panthers in Game 1 of the 2025 NHL Western Conference Final at Scotiabank Arena on Sunday, starting at 7:30PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Panthers as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Florida-Toronto game," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.
"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Panthers with a win probability of 53%, while the Maple Leafs have 47%."
For further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Panthers vs. Maple Leafs predictions page.
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Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NHL Playoffs matchup between the Panthers and Maple Leafs 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Panthers a 53% chance of defeating the Maple Leafs in Game 1 of the 2025 Western Conference Finals.
According to our model, the Maple Leafs (+1.5) have a 68% chance of covering the puck line, while the 5-goal over/under has a 55% chance of going over.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 11:15PM, May 18
Moneyline
Over / Under
Puck Line
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Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Game 1 Odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Panthers | Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+194) | +1.5 (-225) |
| Moneyline | -135 | +120 |
| Total | o5 (-125) | u5 (+105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Picks and Best Bets
Our model's biggest edge in today's Panthers vs. Maple Leafs matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best NHL picks and NHL best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Unlock Every Panthers-Maple Leafs Pick Get Dimers Pro Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Player Props
Who will score the first goal in Panthers vs. Maple Leafs?
According to our model, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Panthers vs. Maple Leafs.
Our projections give Matthews an 8.8% chance of scoring the first goal at Scotiabank Arena, while the Maple Leafs star is a 40.2% chance of netting an anytime goal.
First Goal Scorer Predictions
Florida Panthers
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Carter Verhaeghe | 6.7% |
| Sam Reinhart | 6.1% |
| Matthew Tkachuk | 5.4% |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 8.8% |
| William Nylander | 6.6% |
| Mitch Marner | 5.7% |
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions
Florida Panthers
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Sam Reinhart | 31.8% |
| Carter Verhaeghe | 31.7% |
| Matthew Tkachuk | 26.3% |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 40.2% |
| William Nylander | 32.9% |
| John Tavares | 28.9% |
Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Sunday's matchup between the Maple Leafs and Panthers in the Stanley Cup Playoffs is scheduled to commence at 7:30PM ET.
- Who: Florida Panthers vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
- Date: Sunday, May 18, 2025
- Time: 7:30PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
The winner of the NHL Western Conference Final will advance to the Stanley Cup Final. Game 1 of the best-of-seven series between the Panthers and Maple Leafs is at Toronto's Scotiabank Arena.
Dimers.com's full preview of Sunday's Panthers vs. Maple Leafs matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Florida vs. Toronto picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
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Conclusion
We predict the Panthers, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat the Maple Leafs in Game 1 of the 2025 Western Conference Finals.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Panthers vs. Maple Leafs insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NHL
Stay up-to-date with the latest NHL betting news and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds offer the most accurate projections for the Stanley Cup title.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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