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Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Jannik Sinner prediction, odds, picks for ATP Monte-Carlo Masters 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Auger-Aliassime vs Sinner predictions for ATP Monte-Carlo Masters.
Felix Auger-Aliassime will take on Jannik Sinner in the quarterfinals at the ATP Monte Carlo event on Friday.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Jannik Sinner as the most likely winner of the Auger-Aliassime vs. Sinner match.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's match, including best bets and picks.
Auger-Aliassime vs. Sinner prediction: Who will win and advance to the semifinals?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's Auger-Aliassime-Sinner men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives Sinner an 87% chance of winning against Auger-Aliassime at the ATP Monte-Carlo Masters tournament.
Additionally, Sinner has an 81% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Sinner (-5.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 19.5 games has a 51% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Jannik Sinner odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Auger-Aliassime | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +800 | -1099 |
| First Set | +400 | -625 |
| Game Spread | +5.5 (-118) | -5.5 (-116) |
| Total Games | o19.5 (-105) | u19.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Auger-Aliassime vs. Sinner picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Auger-Aliassime | +800 |
| First Set | Sinner | -105 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Felix Auger-Aliassime to win.
Although Auger-Aliassime is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Auger-Aliassime vs. Sinner updates and essential details
The ATP Monte-Carlo Masters match between Felix Auger-Aliassime and Jannik Sinner is scheduled to start on Friday at 6:10 AM ET.
- Who: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Jannik Sinner
- Date: Friday, April 10, 2026
- Approx. Time: 6:10 AM ET/3:10AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Monte Carlo, Monaco Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Quarterfinals
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Jannik Sinner, with an 87% win probability, will likely beat Felix Auger-Aliassime at the ATP Monte-Carlo Masters tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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