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FC Dallas vs. Nashville SC prediction, odds, MLS picks [2/28/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get FC Dallas vs Nashville SC predictions for MLS Saturday.
Dallas and Nashville are scheduled to meet in MLS action at Toyota Stadium on Saturday, with kickoff at 8:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven MLS model projects Dallas as the most likely winner of the Dallas vs. Nashville game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
FC Dallas vs. Nashville SC prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLS game between Dallas and Nashville 10,000 times as part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model suggests a 40.2% chance of Dallas winning, a 35.3% chance for Nashville, and a 24.5% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 57% chance of going over, according to our model.
FC Dallas vs. Nashville SC odds
We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Dallas | Nashville | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +165 | +150 | +250 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -134 | +110 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
FC Dallas vs. Nashville SC picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Dallas | +165 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -134 |
According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Dallas to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
FC Dallas vs. Nashville SC: Correct score predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| DAL 1-1 NSC | 11.4% |
| DAL 2-1 NSC | 8.7% |
| DAL 1-2 NSC | 8.1% |
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
FC Dallas vs. Nashville SC game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's action between Dallas and Nashville in MLS at Toyota Stadium is scheduled to begin at 8:30 PM ET.
- Who: FC Dallas vs. Nashville SC
- Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: Toyota Stadium
World Cup 2026 watch: Jesús Ferreira (USA)
Dallas forward Jesús Ferreira is on the radar for USMNT fans this year as excitement ramps up ahead of the FIFA World Cup 2026, with rising interest in World Cup news and early conversation about who will win the World Cup. With the United States placed alongside Australia, Paraguay, and the UEFA Playoff C winner in Group D next year, Ferreira's club form will be monitored closely.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Dallas has a 40.2% win probability on Saturday, Nashville has a 35.3% win probability, and there is a 24.5% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Dallas vs. Nashville insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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