Everton vs. Manchester City prediction, odds, Premier League picks [5/4/2026]

Everton will take on the favored Manchester City in Premier League action at Hill Dickinson Stadium on Monday, commencing at 3:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven Premier League model predicts Manchester City as the most likely winner of the Everton vs. Manchester City game.

This article offers further insights into Monday's match, including best bets and picks.

Everton vs. Manchester City prediction: Who will win?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's Premier League match between Everton and Manchester City, forming part of our Premier League predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model suggests a 16.2% chance of Everton winning, a 63.5% chance for Manchester City, and a 20.3% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 58% chance of going over, according to our model.

Everton vs. Manchester City odds

We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Everton	Manchester City	Draw
+600	-225	+400

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
-175	+138

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Everton vs. Manchester City picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Moneyline	Everton	+600
Total Goals	Under 2.5	+138

According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Everton to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Everton vs. Manchester City: Correct score and BTTS predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-0 Manchester City win being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
EVE 0-2 MCI	10.5%
EVE 0-1 MCI	10.1%
EVE 1-2 MCI	9.9%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 53.5% chance of both Everton and Manchester City finding the net and a 46.5% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Everton vs. Manchester City game-day updates and essential details

Monday's Premier League game between Everton and Manchester City at Hill Dickinson Stadium is scheduled to begin in the United States at 3:00 PM ET.

• Who: Everton vs. Manchester City
• Date: Monday, May 4, 2026
• Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
• Venue: Hill Dickinson Stadium

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Everton has a 16.2% win probability on Monday, Manchester City has a 63.5% win probability, and there is a 20.3% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.