Everton vs. Manchester City Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Everton vs. Manchester City Premier League match on May 4, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Manchester City
3
:
3
Hill Dickinson Stadium
Everton
Hill Dickinson Stadium
EvertonEVE
Score Summary
Manchester CityMNC
T. Barry (68')
Soccer ball icon
J. O'Brien (73')
Soccer ball icon
T. Barry (81')
Soccer ball icon
J. Doku (43')
Soccer ball icon
E. Haaland (83')
Soccer ball icon
J. Doku (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Everton
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Manchester City
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Everton: C. Alcaraz replaces K. Dewsbury-Hall
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Everton: N. Patterson replaces M. Rohl
  3. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Everton: H. Armstrong replaces T. Iroegbunam
  4. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Manchester City by J. Doku, assisted by M. Guehi
    3-3
  5. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester City: O. Marmoush replaces B. Silva
  6. 86'
    Yellow Card
    J. O'Brien (Everton) cautioned
  7. 83'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Manchester City by E. Haaland, assisted by M. Kovacic
    2-3
  8. 81'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Everton by T. Barry
    1-3
  9. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester City: M. Kovacic replaces Nico
  10. 74'
    Yellow Card
    G. Donnarumma (Manchester City) cautioned
  11. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester City: P. Foden replaces A. Semenyo
  12. 73'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Everton by J. O'Brien, assisted by J. Garner
    1-2
  13. 68'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Everton by T. Barry
    1-1
  14. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Everton: T. Barry replaces Beto
  15. 53'
    Yellow Card
    J. Tarkowski (Everton) cautioned
  16. 48'
    Yellow Card
    Beto (Everton) cautioned
  17. 45'
    Yellow Card
    M. Keane (Everton) cautioned
  18. 43'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Manchester City by J. Doku, assisted by R. Cherki
    1-0

Everton vs. Manchester City: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Everton vs. Manchester City
  • Date: Monday, May 4, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Hill Dickinson Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Everton +600, Manchester City -225, draw +400
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-160/+138)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Everton: 16.2%
  • Manchester City: 63.5%
  • Draw: 20.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Everton 0-2 Manchester City (10.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Everton vs. Manchester City? Prediction & correct score

Manchester City is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 63.5%.

The most likely correct score is Everton 0-2 Manchester City.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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