Chelsea vs. Nottingham Forest Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Chelsea vs. Nottingham Forest Premier League match on May 4, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Nottingham Forest
3
1
May 4, 10:00 AM ET Stamford Bridge
Chelsea
May 4, 10:00 AM ET Stamford Bridge
ChelseaCFC
Score Summary
Nottingham ForestNOF
Joao Pedro (90')
Soccer ball icon
T. Awoniyi (2')
Soccer ball icon
Igor Jesus (pen.) (15')
Soccer ball icon
T. Awoniyi (52')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Chelsea
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Nottingham Forest
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chelsea by Joao Pedro, assisted by M. Cucurella
3-1
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Nottingham: O. Hutchinson replaces D. Bakwa
78'
Yellow Card
M. Caicedo (Chelsea) cautioned
78'
Yellow Card
L. Delap (Chelsea) cautioned
73'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Nottingham: C. Wood replaces M. Gibbs-White
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: F. Jorgensen replaces R. Sanchez
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: Andrey Santos replaces R. Lavia
52'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Nottingham by T. Awoniyi, assisted by M. Gibbs-White
3-0
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: L. Colwill replaces T. Adarabioyo
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Nottingham: N. Milenkovic replaces Cunha
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Nottingham: E. Anderson replaces N. Dominguez
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Nottingham: M. Gibbs-White replaces Igor Jesus
45'
Substitution
Substitution for Nottingham: N. Williams replaces Z. Abbott
45'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: L. Delap replaces J. Derry
45'
Penalty missed by C. Palmer for Chelsea
15'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Nottingham by Igor Jesus (pen.)
2-0
14'
Yellow Card
M. Gusto (Chelsea) cautioned
10'
Yellow Card
Morato (Nottingham) cautioned
2'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Nottingham by T. Awoniyi, assisted by D. Bakwa
1-0

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Chelsea vs. Nottingham Forest: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Chelsea vs. Nottingham Forest
  • Date: Monday, May 4, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Stamford Bridge

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Chelsea -220, Nottingham Forest +700, draw +400
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-163/+130)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Chelsea: 66.2%
  • Nottingham Forest: 14.7%
  • Draw: 19.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Chelsea 2-0 Nottingham Forest (10.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Chelsea vs. Nottingham Forest? Prediction & correct score

Chelsea is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 66.2%.

The most likely correct score is Chelsea 2-0 Nottingham Forest.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

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Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Chelsea vs. Nottingham Forest, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.