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Evansville vs. Murray State prediction: Why Murray State is favored to win NCAAW matchup [3/15/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Evansville vs Murray State predictions for college basketball Sunday.
Women's college basketball action continues on Sunday at 2:00 PM ET as Evansville locks horns with Murray State at Xtream Arena.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' new women's basketball model projects Murray State as the most likely winner of the Evansville vs. Murray State game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Evansville vs. Murray State prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's women's basketball game between Evansville and Murray State 10,000 times as part of our women's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives Murray State a 93% chance of defeating Evansville.
According to our model, the over/under total of 159.5 points has a 51% chance of going over.
Evansville vs. Murray State odds
We have sourced the best women's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Evansville | Murray State |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +16.5 (-122) | -16.5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | +1100 | -4545 |
| Total | o159.5 (-114) | u159.5 (-114) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Evansville vs. Murray State picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Murray State -16.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Evansville | +1100 |
| Total | Over 159.5 | -114 |
According to our women's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Murray State -16.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Evansville vs. Murray State game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's women's basketball action between Murray State and Evansville at Xtream Arena is scheduled to commence at 2:00 PM ET.
- Who: Evansville vs. Murray State
- Date: Sunday, March 15, 2026
- Time: 2:00 PM ET/11:00AM PT
- Venue: Xtream Arena
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Conclusion
We predict Murray State, with a 93% win probability, will likely beat Evansville on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Evansville vs. Murray State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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