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Evansville vs. Illinois State prediction: Why Illinois State is favored to win women's basketball matchup [3/14/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Evansville vs Illinois State predictions for college basketball Saturday.
Illinois State and Evansville are scheduled to meet in the women's college basketball at Xtream Arena on Saturday, starting at 5:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' new women's basketball model predicts Illinois State as the most likely winner of the Evansville vs. Illinois State game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Evansville vs. Illinois State prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's women's basketball matchup between Evansville and Illinois State 10,000 times as part of our women's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives Illinois State a 78% chance of beating Evansville.
According to our model, the over/under total of 138.5 points has a 53% chance of going over.
Evansville vs. Illinois State odds
We have sourced the best women's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Evansville | Illinois State |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +9.5 (-122) | -9.5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | +350 | -549 |
| Total | o138.5 (-112) | u138.5 (-118) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Evansville vs. Illinois State picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Illinois State -9.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Evansville | +350 |
| Total | Over 138.5 | -112 |
According to our women's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 138.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Evansville vs. Illinois State game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's women's basketball action between Illinois State and Evansville at Xtream Arena is scheduled to begin at 5:00 PM ET.
- Who: Evansville vs. Illinois State
- Date: Saturday, March 14, 2026
- Time: 5:00 PM ET/2:00PM PT
- Venue: Xtream Arena
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Conclusion
We predict Illinois State, with a 78% win probability, will likely beat Evansville on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Evansville vs. Illinois State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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