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Elise Mertens vs. Nikola Bartunkova prediction, odds, picks for Australian Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Mertens vs Bartunkova predictions for Australian Open 2026.
Elise Mertens will take on Nikola Bartunkova in the third round of the Australian Open Women's Singles 2026 on Friday.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Elise Mertens as the most likely winner of the Mertens vs. Bartunkova match.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's match, including best bets and picks.
Mertens vs. Bartunkova prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's Mertens-Bartunkova women's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives Mertens a 76% chance of defeating Bartunkova in the Australian Open 2026.
Additionally, Mertens has a 72% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Mertens (-4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 19.5 games has a 58% chance of hitting**, according to our model.
Elise Mertens vs. Nikola Bartunkova odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mertens | Bartunkova |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -350 | +275 |
| First Set | -303 | +240 |
| Game Spread | -4.5 (-132) | +4.5 (+100) |
| Total Games | o19.5 (-122) | u19.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mertens vs. Bartunkova picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mertens | -350 |
| First Set | Bartunkova | -122 |
According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is Elise Mertens to win the first set.
Mertens vs. Bartunkova updates and essential details
The Australian Open 2026 match between Elise Mertens and Nikola Bartunkova is scheduled to start on Friday at 11:10 PM ET.
- Who: Elise Mertens vs. Nikola Bartunkova
- Date: Friday, January 23, 2026
- Approx. Time: 11:10 PM ET/8:10PM PT
- Tournament: Australian Open Women's Singles 2026
- Round: Third round
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Elise Mertens, with a 76% win probability, will likely beat Nikola Bartunkova at the Australian Open 2026.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mertens vs. Bartunkova insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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