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Ekaterina Alexandrova vs. Sofia Kenin prediction, odds, picks for WTA Tokyo 2025

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Written by Damien Souness

Get Alexandrova vs Kenin predictions for WTA Tokyo.

Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Sofia Kenin Tennis Prediction.
Our Ekaterina Alexandrova and Sofia Kenin tennis prediction is based on thousands of simulations of the upcoming match.

Ekaterina Alexandrova will square off with Sofia Kenin in the quarterfinals at the WTA Tokyo event on Thursday.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model projects Ekaterina Alexandrova as the most likely winner of the Alexandrova vs. Kenin match.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.

Alexandrova vs. Kenin prediction: Who will win and advance to the semifinals?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's Alexandrova-Kenin women's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Alexandrova an 81% chance of winning against Kenin at the WTA Tokyo tournament.

Additionally, Alexandrova has a 76% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Kenin (+5.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 19.5 games has a 55% chance of hitting, according to our model.

 

Ekaterina Alexandrova vs. Sofia Kenin odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type Alexandrova Kenin
Moneyline -500 +400
First Set -357 +275
Game Spread +5.5 (-140) -5.5 (+106)
Total Games o19.5 (-138) u19.5 (+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Alexandrova vs. Kenin picks and best bet

Our predictions, matched with the best odds, reveal the top betting picks for this match, detailed in Dimers' tennis best bets, crafted from expert modeling and analysis:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Moneyline Kenin +400
First Set Kenin -138

According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is over 19.5 total games.

Alexandrova vs. Kenin updates and essential details

The WTA Tokyo match between Ekaterina Alexandrova and Sofia Kenin is scheduled to start on Thursday at 11:50PM ET.

  • Who: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs. Sofia Kenin
  • Date: Thursday, October 23, 2025
  • Approx. Time: 11:50PM ET/8:50PM PT
  • Tournament: WTA Tokyo, Japan Women's Singles 2025
  • Round: Quarterfinals

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Ekaterina Alexandrova, with an 81% win probability, will likely beat Sofia Kenin at the WTA Tokyo tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Alexandrova vs. Kenin insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on Tennis

Keep up with the latest tennis betting news and parlay picks throughout the year. Plus, Dimers' ATP and WTA world rankings showcase our in-house approach to accurately ranking every men's and women's player in the world.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

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Written by
Damien Souness
Chief Innovation Officer

Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.

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