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Oilers vs. Canadiens prediction: Why Edmonton is favored to win Sunday's NHL matchup [12/14/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Edmonton Oilers vs Montreal Canadiens predictions for NHL Sunday.
The Montreal Canadiens will face the Edmonton Oilers, in what is expected to be a tight NHL game, at Bell Centre on Sunday, beginning at 7:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model gives the Oilers a slight edge with a 54% win probability over the Canadiens.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's Oilers vs. Canadiens matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Oilers vs. Habs prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NHL matchup between the Oilers and Canadiens 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Oilers a 54% chance of beating the Canadiens.
According to our model, the Canadiens (+1.5) have a 67% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.
Oilers vs. Canadiens odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Oilers | Canadiens |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+180) | +1.5 (-200) |
| Moneyline | -135 | +115 |
| Total | o6.5 (-114) | u6.5 (-102) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Oilers vs. Canadiens picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Canadiens +1.5 | -200 |
| Moneyline | Canadiens | +115 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | -102 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.
Oilers vs. Canadiens player props
Who will score a goal in Oilers vs. Canadiens?
According to our model, Leon Draisaitl is most likely to score an anytime goal in Oilers vs. Canadiens.
Our projections give Draisaitl a 43.6% chance of scoring a goal at Bell Centre, while the star is an 8.6% chance of registering the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Leon Draisaitl | 43.6% |
| Connor McDavid | 38.9% |
| Zach Hyman | 37.6% |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 22.7% |
| Matt Savoie | 17.9% |
Montreal Canadiens
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Cole Caufield | 40.9% |
| Ivan Demidov | 30.7% |
| Nick Suzuki | 29.7% |
| Oliver Kapanen | 28.8% |
| Juraj Slafkovsky | 26.1% |
First goal scorer predictions
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Leon Draisaitl | 8.6% |
| Connor McDavid | 7.6% |
| Zach Hyman | 7.1% |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 3.9% |
| Andrew Mangiapane | 3.2% |
Montreal Canadiens
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Cole Caufield | 9.2% |
| Ivan Demidov | 5.6% |
| Nick Suzuki | 5.4% |
| Oliver Kapanen | 4.9% |
| Juraj Slafkovsky | 4.9% |
Oilers vs. Habs game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's action between the Canadiens and Oilers at Bell Centre is scheduled to start at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: Edmonton Oilers vs. Montreal Canadiens
- Date: Sunday, December 14, 2025
- Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Bell Centre
Conclusion
We predict the Oilers, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Canadiens on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Oilers vs. Canadiens insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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