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Oilers vs. Stars Prediction: Dallas Predicted to Win Game 1 [2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Our expert prediction for Wednesday's Edmonton Oilers vs Dallas Stars Game 1 matchup.
NHL Playoffs action continues on Wednesday at 8:00PM ET as the Edmonton Oilers square off with the Dallas Stars in Game 1 of the 2025 Eastern Conference Final at American Airlines Center.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Stars as the most likely winner of Game 1.
"Our team has simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Edmonton-Dallas game 10,000 times," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.
"With the latest updates and numerous other variables, we estimate the Stars' chance of winning at 54%, with the Oilers at 46%."
For expanded analysis of Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Oilers vs. Stars predictions page.
Stars vs. Oilers Prediction: Who Will Win Game 1?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NHL Playoffs matchup between the Oilers and Stars 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Stars a 54% chance of beating the Oilers in Game 1 of the 2025 Eastern Conference Finals.
According to our model, the Oilers (+1.5) have a 66% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 55% chance of staying under.
Oilers vs. Stars Game 1 Odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Oilers | Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-220) | -1.5 (+190) |
| Moneyline | +110 | -128 |
| Total | o6.5 (+102) | u6.5 (-124) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.
Oilers vs. Stars Picks and Best Bets for Game 1
Our model's strongest edge in today's Oilers vs. Stars matchup is on the over/under.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best NHL picks and NHL best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Oilers vs. Stars Player Props
Who will score the first goal in Oilers vs. Stars?
According to our model, Dallas' Mikko Rantanen is most likely to score the first goal in Oilers vs. Stars.
Our projections give Rantanen an 8.3% chance of scoring the first goal at American Airlines Center, while the Stars star is a 40.6% chance of netting an anytime goal.
First Goal Scorer Predictions
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Leon Draisaitl | 8.1% |
| Connor McDavid | 6.9% |
| Zach Hyman | 6.0% |
Dallas Stars
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Mikko Rantanen | 8.3% |
| Wyatt Johnston | 7.2% |
| Roope Hintz | 5.8% |
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Leon Draisaitl | 39.9% |
| Connor McDavid | 34.1% |
| Zach Hyman | 30.7% |
Dallas Stars
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Mikko Rantanen | 40.6% |
| Wyatt Johnston | 35.0% |
| Roope Hintz | 31.1% |
Oilers vs. Stars Game 1 Updates and Essential Details
Wednesday's Game 1 between the Stars and Oilers in the Stanley Cup Playoffs is scheduled to start at 8:00PM ET.
- Who: Edmonton Oilers vs. Dallas Stars
- Date: Wednesday, May 21, 2025
- Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: American Airlines Center
The winner of the NHL Eastern Conference Final will advance to the Stanley Cup Final. Game 1 of the best-of-seven series between the Oilers and Stars is at Dallas' American Airlines Center.
Dimers.com's full preview of Wednesday's Oilers vs. Stars matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Edmonton vs. Dallas picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Stars, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Oilers in Game 1 of the 2025 Eastern Conference Finals.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Oilers vs. Stars insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NHL
Keep up with the latest NHL betting news and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds offer the most accurate projections for the Stanley Cup title.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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