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Dinger Tuesday Picks: Our Best Home Run Bets and Odds for FanDuel Promo Feature Two Dodgers Stars

If you're wondering "who will hit a home run today," then you've come to the right place!
The 2025 MLB season is heating up, and while FanDuel's Dinger Tuesday promo has scaled back its weekly bonus for this season, Dinger Tuesday still offers a solid opportunity for bettors looking to profit—especially when paired with the power of Dimers Pro.
If you're new to MLB betting, Dinger Tuesday is FanDuel's long-running home run–themed promotion that drops every Tuesday during the MLB season. While this year's version doesn’t offer the same bonus bet payout per home run as last season, it still packs a punch for smart bettors using our best home run props.
✅ Gunnar/Ohtani
— Dimers.com (@DimersCom) April 30, 2025
Cash the boosted +3661 dinger parlay 🥳 https://t.co/cpTVJouWTW
How to Play Dinger Tuesday
Opt in to the Dinger Tuesday promo on FanDuel to receive a pair of 50% Profit Boost Tokens to apply to any “To Hit a Home Run” wager for that Tuesday's MLB games. You can use the Profit Boost on any eligible straight or parlay home run prop—just note that there’s a maximum bet limit and a few restrictions (bonus funds, odds boosts, and cash-outs are ineligible).
New users at FanDuel can also score $200 in bonus bets if their first $5 wager placed on the sportsbook wins, which can be claimed via the offer below.
Say you use your Profit Boost Token on a +400 home run prop for Mookie Betts. Your 50% Profit Boost Token turns that into a +600 bet, meaning a $25 wager will now win $150 instead of $100.
It’s a one-time shot, but for those using Dimers Pro to identify high-value HR props, it can be a sneaky-profitable Tuesday edge.
We’ve also crafted a Dinger Tuesday betting guide to help you squeeze every bit of value out of this promo with Dimers Pro, so check out our Top 3 strategy tips below our HR picks as well.
Dimers Pro gives you access to daily HR prop predictions beyond just Dinger Tuesday—dozens of options on packed slates like today's—and highlights which bets carry positive expected value against the sportsbooks. Even with this year’s more limited promo, that edge can turn a single swing into a big payday.
Best Home Run Bets Today - May 6
As mentioned, Dimers Pro users get a healthy dose of opportunities for Dinger Tuesday, as we have dozens of home runs props available each day and today's 16-game slate is no exception.
We'll be skipping over the Guardians-Nationals doubleheader and picking from our pool of players in the other 14 games on Tuesday as we aim to identify who will hit a home run today.
Below, you will find our top overall Home Run probability featuring our most likely home urn hitter of the day, and our best Home Run value prop - the bet with the most value in the odds.
Dimers Pro users can access every single home run prop with value here, which will allow you to sort by probability, value or individual games. We also drop our Top 25 Home Run Probabilities in our Dimers Pro VIP Discord every day, where are users are cooking up winning ticket after winning ticket.
For a longshot, you can play both of these home run picks together for a juicy parlay at +2197 odds, up from +1464 with the Dinger Tuesday boost.
Most Likely to Hit a Home Run: Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers)
- Game: Dodgers vs. Marlins
- Dimers Probability: 30.2%
- FanDuel Odds: +220
- 50% Boosted Odds: +330
Just like last week, the Dodgers superstar slugger is our most likely player to hit a home run on Dinger Tuesday, getting a 30.2% probability which translates to fair odds of +230, right around where his non-boosted odds are, meaning you get a nice value when you apply your 50% Dinger Tuesday promo boost to Ohtani's HR prop.
He's up to 9 HR on the season, going yard three times in the past week dating back to last Dinger Tuesday when he helped cash out +3661 HR Parlay. He gets a strong matchup vs. the Marlins Cal Quantrill, who's allowed 5 HR in 26.2 IP, including three in his past two starts. Additionally, Miami's bullpen has allowed 18 HR this year, a bottom five mark in MLB.
Best Value Home Run: Mookie Betts (Dodgers)
- Game: Dodgers vs. Marlins
- Dimers Probability: 22.5%
- FanDuel Odds: +500
- 50% Boosted Odds: +750
We're getting our best HR value in this same game, with Mookie Betts' favorable odds making him a prime Dinger Tuesday candidate.
Betts has 1 HR and a .546 OPS in 11 plate appearances vs. Quantrill who's been giving up nukes this year - 4 of his 5 HR would be gone in 25/30 parks, including all five at loanDepot Park.
Betts' power is down this year with his home run-relevant analytics like HardHit%, Barrel % and Launch Angle taking a dip, but he's still hit 5 dingers and he's been excellent at the plate - he just needs the right pitch and he can take anyone deep.
At a 22.5% probability, our fair odds for Betts would be +345, meaning we're already getting value on his standard odds of +500, made even better by the Dinger Tuesday boost which takes them up to +750.
Dinger Tuesday Home Run Parlay Picks
For those looking to play a longshot, pair these two bets for a +2197 home run parlay, up from +1464 odds pre-boost.
Dinger Tuesday Strategy Guide
If you're looking to make your own selections, consider these tips to help you narrow down your targets from the list of many potential sluggers on Tuesday.
1. High Probabilities
This method is as straightforward as it comes. Bet on the player with the highest probability to hit a home run in any game or multiple games
If you choose this method, then you'll often be betting on star players like Aaron Judge, Shohei Ohtani, Fernando Tatis Jr., etc at shorter odds. This is a lower upside method, but you'll be backing players who are likely contend for the top of the HR list at the end of the season.
Dimers Pro users can sort by home run props here and use the probability to filter to find only the highest probabilities that come with some value, or pop into the Dimers Pro Discord where we release our Top 25 HR Probabilities every day.
2. Maximum Value
The second strategy we'll look at is to back players with edges in their odds. These are often going to be higher risk, lower probability plays, but they will return big profits if they win.
You'll find these high-value home run props at the top of our home run edges each and every Tuesday, though you may not always find the best odds on FanDuel. That's a very important distinction, because if the value in a particular home run prop is only on an other book, then it may not be a play worth making for Dinger Tuesday since you must place that bet on FanDuel to use your profit boost.
Even still, you can find value on players with high probabilities, or take a shot on an already longer odds play, boosted even higher by a 50% boost.
3. Do the Extra Research
The best way to use Dimers Pro is alongside the wealth of MLB statistics out there. Weather, pitch types, ballparks, head-to-head matchups...these are just a handful of the factors that can weigh into home run props.
Some key factors to look at when making your home run picks:
- Matchup: Your batter's success against the starting pitcher's varying pitch types
- Bullpens: When the starter gets pulled, which teams relievers are serving up dingers?
- Ballpark Factors: Short porch? Elevation boost? Not all parks are built equal
- Head-to-Head History: What has a batter done vs. the starter in the past
- Weather: Cold: bad. Wind: good (in the right direction). Always check the weather reports
With dozens of props available on Dimers Pro, it's always good to check on these other data points to help you narrow down which bets to make.
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