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Red Wings vs. Capitals prediction: Why Washington is favored to win Saturday's NHL matchup [12/20/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Detroit Red Wings vs Washington Capitals predictions for NHL Saturday.
The Washington Capitals will take on the Detroit Red Wings in NHL action at Capital One Arena on Saturday, starting at 12:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model projects the Capitals as the most likely winner of the Red Wings vs. Capitals game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Red Wings vs. Caps prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NHL matchup between the Red Wings and Capitals 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Capitals a 59% chance of beating the Red Wings.
According to our model, the Red Wings (+1.5) have a 63% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Red Wings vs. Capitals odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Red Wings | Capitals |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-175) | -1.5 (+152) |
| Moneyline | +140 | -162 |
| Total | o6 (-110) | u6 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Red Wings vs. Capitals picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Red Wings +1.5 | -175 |
| Moneyline | Red Wings | +140 |
| Total | Over 6 | -110 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Red Wings +1.5 at the spread.
Red Wings vs. Capitals player props
Who will score a goal in Red Wings vs. Capitals?
According to our model, Alex Ovechkin is most likely to score an anytime goal in Red Wings vs. Capitals.
Our projections give Ovechkin a 38.0% chance of scoring a goal at Capital One Arena, while the star is a 7.7% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Detroit Red Wings
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Alex DeBrincat | 36.9% |
| Dylan Larkin | 30.1% |
| Lucas Raymond | 26.4% |
| Emmitt Finnie | 18.1% |
| James van Riemsdyk | 17.1% |
Washington Capitals
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Alex Ovechkin | 38.0% |
| Tom Wilson | 33.2% |
| Aliaksei Protas | 29.3% |
| Dylan Strome | 27.3% |
| Jakob Chychrun | 25.9% |
First goal scorer predictions
Detroit Red Wings
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Alex DeBrincat | 7.6% |
| Dylan Larkin | 5.9% |
| Lucas Raymond | 4.8% |
| Emmitt Finnie | 3.3% |
| James van Riemsdyk | 2.8% |
Washington Capitals
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Alex Ovechkin | 7.7% |
| Tom Wilson | 6.9% |
| Aliaksei Protas | 5.5% |
| Dylan Strome | 5.0% |
| Jakob Chychrun | 4.6% |
Red Wings vs. Caps game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's matchup between the Capitals and Red Wings at Capital One Arena is scheduled to start at 12:30 PM ET.
- Who: Detroit Red Wings vs. Washington Capitals
- Date: Saturday, December 20, 2025
- Time: 12:30 PM ET/9:30AM PT
- Venue: Capital One Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Capitals, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Red Wings on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Red Wings vs. Capitals insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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