Red Wings vs. Senators prediction: Ottawa favored to win Thursday's NHL matchup [2/26/2026]

The Ottawa Senators will square off with the Detroit Red Wings in NHL action at Canadian Tire Centre on Thursday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model projects the Senators as the most likely winner of the Red Wings vs. Senators game.

This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Red Wings vs. Senators prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NHL matchup between the Red Wings and Senators 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Senators a 57% chance of beating the Red Wings.

According to our model, the Red Wings (+1.5) have a 63% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 5.5 goals has a 54% chance of going over.

Red Wings vs. Senators odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Red Wings	Senators
Puck Line	+1.5 (-188)	-1.5 (+160)
Moneyline	+130	-150
Total	o5.5 (-130)	u5.5 (+110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Red Wings vs. Senators picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Senators -1.5	+160
Moneyline	Red Wings	+130
Total	Over 5.5	-130

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Red Wings to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Red Wings vs. Senators player props

Who will score a goal in Red Wings vs. Senators?

According to our model, Alex DeBrincat is most likely to score an anytime goal in Red Wings vs. Senators.

Our projections give DeBrincat a 36.4% chance of scoring a goal at Canadian Tire Centre, while the star is a 7.8% chance of registering the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Detroit Red Wings

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Alex DeBrincat	36.4%
Dylan Larkin	32.6%
Lucas Raymond	29.3%
Marco Kasper	22.8%
Patrick Kane	20.0%

Ottawa Senators

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Brady Tkachuk	33.6%
Tim Stutzle	33.3%
Drake Batherson	26.2%
Shane Pinto	26.0%
Dylan Cozens	23.4%

First goal scorer predictions

Detroit Red Wings

Player	First Goal Probability
Alex DeBrincat	7.8%
Dylan Larkin	6.7%
Lucas Raymond	5.3%
Marco Kasper	4.3%
Patrick Kane	3.5%

Ottawa Senators

Player	First Goal Probability
Brady Tkachuk	7.0%
Tim Stutzle	6.2%
Drake Batherson	4.8%
Dylan Cozens	4.5%
Shane Pinto	4.2%

Red Wings vs. Senators game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's game between the Senators and Red Wings at Canadian Tire Centre is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Detroit Red Wings vs. Ottawa Senators
• Date: Thursday, February 26, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Canadian Tire Centre

Conclusion

We predict the Senators, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat the Red Wings on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Red Wings vs. Senators insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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