Red Wings vs. Senators prediction: Ottawa favored to win Monday's NHL matchup [1/5/2026]

NHL action continues on Monday at 7:30 PM ET as the Detroit Red Wings lock horns with the Ottawa Senators at Canadian Tire Centre.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model projects the Senators as the most likely winner of the Red Wings vs. Senators game.

This article offers further insights into Monday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Red Wings vs. Senators prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's NHL game between the Red Wings and Senators 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Senators a 58% chance of defeating the Red Wings.

According to our model, the Red Wings (+1.5) have a 64% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 55% chance of staying under.

Red Wings vs. Senators odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Red Wings	Senators
Puck Line	+1.5 (-180)	-1.5 (+154)
Moneyline	+138	-160
Total	o6.5 (+110)	u6.5 (-130)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Red Wings vs. Senators picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Red Wings +1.5	-180
Moneyline	Red Wings	+138
Total	Under 6.5	-130

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Red Wings to win.

Red Wings vs. Senators player props

Who will score a goal in Red Wings vs. Senators?

According to our model, Tim Stutzle is most likely to score an anytime goal in Red Wings vs. Senators.

Our projections give Stutzle a 35.5% chance of scoring a goal at Canadian Tire Centre, while the star is a 7.0% chance of registering the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Detroit Red Wings

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Alex DeBrincat	35.1%
Dylan Larkin	33.4%
Lucas Raymond	25.1%
Patrick Kane	19.9%
James van Riemsdyk	17.3%

Ottawa Senators

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Tim Stutzle	35.5%
Brady Tkachuk	33.6%
Drake Batherson	29.2%
Shane Pinto	24.7%
Dylan Cozens	22.5%

First goal scorer predictions

Detroit Red Wings

Player	First Goal Probability
Alex DeBrincat	7.3%
Dylan Larkin	6.5%
Lucas Raymond	5.0%
Patrick Kane	3.4%
James van Riemsdyk	3.1%

Ottawa Senators

Player	First Goal Probability
Tim Stutzle	7.0%
Brady Tkachuk	6.3%
Drake Batherson	5.3%
Shane Pinto	4.1%
Fabian Zetterlund	4.0%

Red Wings vs. Senators game-day updates and essential details

Monday's action between the Senators and Red Wings at Canadian Tire Centre is scheduled to start at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: Detroit Red Wings vs. Ottawa Senators
• Date: Monday, January 5, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: Canadian Tire Centre

Conclusion

We predict the Senators, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat the Red Wings on Monday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Red Wings vs. Senators insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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