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Red Wings vs. Oilers prediction: Why Edmonton is favored to win Thursday's NHL matchup [12/11/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Detroit Red Wings vs Edmonton Oilers predictions for NHL Thursday.
NHL action continues on Thursday at 9:00PM ET as the Detroit Red Wings square off with the Edmonton Oilers at Rogers Place.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model projects the Oilers as the most likely winner of the Red Wings vs. Oilers game.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Red Wings vs. Oilers prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NHL matchup between the Red Wings and Oilers 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Oilers a 60% chance of beating the Red Wings.
According to our model, the Red Wings (+1.5) have a 61% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6.5 goals has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Red Wings vs. Oilers odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Red Wings | Oilers |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-155) | -1.5 (+136) |
| Moneyline | +154 | -176 |
| Total | o6.5 (-120) | u6.5 (+105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Red Wings vs. Oilers picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Red Wings +1.5 | -155 |
| Moneyline | Red Wings | +154 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | +105 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.
Red Wings vs. Oilers player props
Who will score a goal in Red Wings vs. Oilers?
According to our model, Leon Draisaitl is most likely to score an anytime goal in Red Wings vs. Oilers.
Our projections give Draisaitl a 45.4% chance of scoring a goal at Rogers Place, while the star is an 8.8% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Detroit Red Wings
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Dylan Larkin | 35.4% |
| Alex DeBrincat | 35.0% |
| Lucas Raymond | 26.9% |
| Patrick Kane | 20.8% |
| James van Riemsdyk | 18.9% |
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Leon Draisaitl | 45.4% |
| Connor McDavid | 37.9% |
| Zach Hyman | 34.1% |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 24.5% |
| Andrew Mangiapane | 18.7% |
First goal scorer predictions
Detroit Red Wings
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Dylan Larkin | 6.6% |
| Alex DeBrincat | 6.4% |
| Lucas Raymond | 4.9% |
| Patrick Kane | 3.5% |
| Emmitt Finnie | 3.3% |
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Leon Draisaitl | 8.8% |
| Connor McDavid | 7.7% |
| Zach Hyman | 6.5% |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 4.3% |
| Andrew Mangiapane | 3.4% |
Red Wings vs. Oilers game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's action between the Oilers and Red Wings at Rogers Place is scheduled to commence at 9:00PM ET.
- Who: Detroit Red Wings vs. Edmonton Oilers
- Date: Thursday, December 11, 2025
- Time: 9:00PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: Rogers Place
Conclusion
We predict the Oilers, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat the Red Wings on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Red Wings vs. Oilers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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