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Red Wings vs. Oilers prediction: Why Edmonton is favored to win Thursday's NHL matchup [12/11/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Detroit Red Wings vs Edmonton Oilers predictions for NHL Thursday.
The Edmonton Oilers will take on the Detroit Red Wings in NHL action at Rogers Place on Thursday, commencing at 9:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model predicts the Oilers as the most likely winner of the Red Wings vs. Oilers game.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Red Wings vs. Oilers prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NHL game between the Red Wings and Oilers 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Oilers a 61% chance of beating the Red Wings.
According to our model, the Red Wings (+1.5) have a 60% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.
Red Wings vs. Oilers odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Red Wings | Oilers |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-145) | -1.5 (+130) |
| Moneyline | +164 | -184 |
| Total | o6.5 (-112) | u6.5 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Red Wings vs. Oilers picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Red Wings +1.5 | -145 |
| Moneyline | Red Wings | +164 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | +100 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Red Wings to win.
Red Wings vs. Oilers player props
Who will score a goal in Red Wings vs. Oilers?
According to our model, Leon Draisaitl is most likely to score an anytime goal in Red Wings vs. Oilers.
Our projections give Draisaitl a 45.8% chance of scoring a goal at Rogers Place, while the star is a 9.6% chance of registering the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Detroit Red Wings
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Dylan Larkin | 34.6% |
| Alex DeBrincat | 33.5% |
| Lucas Raymond | 28.3% |
| Patrick Kane | 21.9% |
| James van Riemsdyk | 18.9% |
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Leon Draisaitl | 45.8% |
| Connor McDavid | 38.4% |
| Zach Hyman | 35.0% |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 24.5% |
| Andrew Mangiapane | 18.9% |
First goal scorer predictions
Detroit Red Wings
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Dylan Larkin | 6.9% |
| Alex DeBrincat | 6.0% |
| Lucas Raymond | 5.2% |
| Patrick Kane | 3.4% |
| James van Riemsdyk | 3.0% |
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Leon Draisaitl | 9.6% |
| Connor McDavid | 7.2% |
| Zach Hyman | 7.0% |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 4.3% |
| David Tomasek | 3.2% |
Red Wings vs. Oilers game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's matchup between the Oilers and Red Wings at Rogers Place is scheduled to commence at 9:00PM ET.
- Who: Detroit Red Wings vs. Edmonton Oilers
- Date: Thursday, December 11, 2025
- Time: 9:00PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: Rogers Place
Conclusion
We predict the Oilers, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Red Wings on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Red Wings vs. Oilers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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