Lions vs. Eagles prediction: Why Philadelphia is favored to win SNF Week 11, 2025

The Philadelphia Eagles will take on the Detroit Lions in NFL Week 11 action at Lincoln Financial Field on Sunday, beginning at 8:20PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NFL model predicts the Eagles as the most likely winner of the Lions vs. Eagles game.

This article offers further insights into this week's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Lions vs. Eagles prediction: Who will win and cover?

Since our Lions-Eagles predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Lions and Eagles 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Eagles a 59% chance of defeating the Lions in Week 11 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Eagles winning 24-22.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Lions and Eagles each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 46.5 points also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 11 straight up picks.

Lions vs. Eagles odds

We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Lions	Eagles
Spread	+2.5 (-105)	-2.5 (-110)
Moneyline	+124	-142
Total	o46.5 (+100)	u46.5 (-112)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Lions vs. Eagles picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Lions +2.5	-105
Moneyline	Eagles	-142
Total	Over 46.5	+100

According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Eagles to win.

Lions vs. Eagles TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Lions vs. Eagles?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for Week 11, Jahmyr Gibbs is most likely to score an anytime touchdown in Lions vs. Eagles.

Our projections give Gibbs a 56.5% chance of scoring a TD at Lincoln Financial Field, while the running back is a 12.5% chance of registering the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Detroit Lions

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Jahmyr Gibbs (RB)	56.5%
Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR)	46.8%
David Montgomery (RB)	38.8%
Jameson Williams (WR)	31.8%
Brock Wright (TE)	21.6%

Philadelphia Eagles

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Saquon Barkley (RB)	44.7%
Jalen Hurts (QB)	43.2%
A.J. Brown (WR)	38.8%
DeVonta Smith (WR)	35.8%
Dallas Goedert (TE)	32.7%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Detroit Lions

Player	First TD Probability
Jahmyr Gibbs (RB)	12.5%
Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR)	9.4%
David Montgomery (RB)	7.3%
Jameson Williams (WR)	5.7%
Brock Wright (TE)	3.6%

Philadelphia Eagles

Player	First TD Probability
Saquon Barkley (RB)	10.1%
Jalen Hurts (QB)	9.6%
A.J. Brown (WR)	8.3%
DeVonta Smith (WR)	7.5%
Dallas Goedert (TE)	6.7%

Lions vs Eagles player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Lions and Eagles. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 11 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Lions' Jared Goff is projected for 238 passing yards. The Eagles' Jalen Hurts is expected to throw for 213 yards.

Player	Proj. Pass Yards
Jared Goff (DET)	238
Jalen Hurts (PHI)	213

Lions rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Jahmyr Gibbs	69
David Montgomery	43
Jared Goff	4

Eagles rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Saquon Barkley	75
Jalen Hurts	33
Tank Bigsby	13

Lions receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Amon-Ra St. Brown	83
Jameson Williams	58
Jahmyr Gibbs	26
Kalif Raymond	23
Brock Wright	21

Eagles receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
A.J. Brown	67
DeVonta Smith	63
Dallas Goedert	43
Saquon Barkley	21
Jahan Dotson	13

Lions vs. Eagles game-day updates and essential details

The NFL Week 11 matchup between the Eagles and Lions at Lincoln Financial Field is scheduled to commence at 8:20PM ET.

• Who: Detroit Lions vs. Philadelphia Eagles
• Date: Sunday, November 16, 2025
• Time: 8:20PM ET/5:20PM PT
• Venue: Lincoln Financial Field

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Conclusion

We predict the Eagles, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Lions in Week 11 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Lions vs. Eagles insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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