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Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears updated prediction featuring Jahmyr Gibbs, D'Andre Swift [Week 18, 2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get new expert Lions vs Bears predictions for Sunday's game.
Dimers' latest NFL predictions are live for Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions in Week 18, with our model giving the Bears a 59% of winning.
As Sunday approaches, both teams have updated their injury reports. Some lineup calls are still undecided, and those could shape how each side approaches this NFC North matchup.
Since our early Bears-Lions predictions, we’ve updated the win probabilities, score projections, and TD odds for Jahmyr Gibbs, D'Andre Swift, and others.
For the full simulation breakdown—including spreads, totals, touchdown probabilities, and the full list of player props—head to our Lions vs. Bears page.
What's changed? Detroit vs. Chicago updated predictions
Our NFL predictions model has been re-run with the newest available data, creating a clearer picture of how this Lions vs. Bears matchup stacks up. Here are the updated forecasts:
- Straight Up Win Probabilities: Lions 41%, Bears 59%
- Predicted Final Score: Lions 23-26 Bears
- Spread: Lions (+3) 50%, Bears (-3) 50%
- Total Points (50.5): Over 50%, Under 50%
As of January 1, 2026, these Lions-Bears figures reflect changes since our early-week simulation.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
New NFL player projections for Week 18 highlight the top candidates to find the end zone in Lions-Bears on Sunday:
Detroit Lions
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 68.5% probability
- Amon-Ra St. Brown: 48.2% probability
- David Montgomery: 41.3% probability
Chicago Bears
- D'Andre Swift: 43.0% probability
- Kyle Monangai: 38.4% probability
- DJ Moore: 31.8% probability
Lions vs. Bears latest odds
The best current odds from the top sportsbooks in the US:
- Spread: Lions +3 (-118), Bears -3 (-102)
- Moneyline: Lions +135, Bears -148
- Total: Over/Under 50.5 (-110/-105)
Odds are correct at time of publication and are subject to change—track live updates via our NFL odds page.
Lions vs. Bears Week 18 details
The NFL Week 18 action between the Bears and Lions at Soldier Field is scheduled for January 4, 2026.
- Who: Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears
- Date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
- Time: 4:25 PM ET/1:25PM PT
- Venue: Soldier Field
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Conclusion
We predict the Bears, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Lions in Week 18 of the NFL season. Dimers.com will provide full game coverage closer to kickoff, so stay tuned for updates.
Enhanced by AI and automation, this article delivers quick, accurate insights on the Lions vs. Bears game, with human oversight maintaining high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NFL
Stay up-to-date with the latest NFL betting news and data-driven parlay picks all season long. Plus, our Super Bowl odds for top predictions and the best available odds on the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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