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Nuggets vs. Wizards prediction: Why Denver is favored to win Thursday's NBA matchup [1/22/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Denver Nuggets vs Washington Wizards predictions for NBA Thursday.
NBA action continues on Thursday at 7:00 PM ET as the Denver Nuggets square off with the Washington Wizards at Capital One Arena.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model projects the Nuggets as the most likely winner of the Nuggets vs. Wizards game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Wizards lineup will feature stars like Alex Sarr, Kyshawn George and Tre Johnson, while the Nuggets will be led by Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon and Peyton Watson.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Nuggets vs. Wizards prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NBA game between the Nuggets and Wizards 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Nuggets a 71% chance of beating the Wizards. Our predicted final score has the Nuggets winning 116-110.
According to our model, the Nuggets (-6.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 227.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Nuggets vs. Wizards odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Nuggets | Wizards |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -6.5 (-108) | +6.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -250 | +220 |
| Total | o227.5 (-110) | u227.5 (-106) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Nuggets vs. Wizards picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Nuggets -6.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Nuggets | -250 |
| Total | Under 227.5 | -106 |
According to our best NBA bets for Thursday, the top play to make on this game is Nuggets to win.
Nuggets vs. Wizards player props
Betting on Nuggets vs. Wizards NBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Capital One Arena.
Jamal Murray is expected to lead the Nuggets with 26 points, 5 rebounds and 8 assists, while Alex Sarr is projected to have 19 points, 8 rebounds and 3 assists for the Wizards.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Nuggets prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Nuggets are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray | 26 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 50 |
| Aaron Gordon | 19 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 38 |
| Peyton Watson | 18 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 37 |
| Tim Hardaway | 15 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 25 |
| J. Valanciunas | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 24 |
Wizards prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Wizards:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Sarr | 19 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 41 |
| Kyshawn George | 16 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 36 |
| Tre Johnson | 14 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 26 |
| Bub Carrington | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 32 |
| Khris Middleton | 13 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 28 |
Nuggets vs. Wizards game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's action between the Wizards and Nuggets at Capital One Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Denver Nuggets vs. Washington Wizards
- Date: Thursday, January 22, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Capital One Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Nuggets, with a 71% win probability, will likely beat the Wizards on Thursday, with Jamal Murray projected for a game-high 50 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Nuggets vs. Wizards insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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