Nuggets vs. Wizards prediction: Why Denver is favored to win Thursday's NBA matchup [1/22/2026]

NBA action continues on Thursday at 7:00 PM ET as the Denver Nuggets square off with the Washington Wizards at Capital One Arena.

Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model projects the Nuggets as the most likely winner of the Nuggets vs. Wizards game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Wizards lineup will feature stars like Alex Sarr, Kyshawn George and Tre Johnson, while the Nuggets will be led by Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon and Peyton Watson.

This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Nuggets vs. Wizards prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NBA game between the Nuggets and Wizards 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Nuggets a 71% chance of beating the Wizards. Our predicted final score has the Nuggets winning 116-110.

According to our model, the Nuggets (-6.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 227.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Nuggets vs. Wizards odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Nuggets	Wizards
Spread	-6.5 (-108)	+6.5 (-110)
Moneyline	-250	+220
Total	o227.5 (-110)	u227.5 (-106)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Nuggets vs. Wizards picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Nuggets -6.5	-108
Moneyline	Nuggets	-250
Total	Under 227.5	-106

According to our best NBA bets for Thursday, the top play to make on this game is Nuggets to win.

Nuggets vs. Wizards player props

Betting on Nuggets vs. Wizards NBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Capital One Arena.

Jamal Murray is expected to lead the Nuggets with 26 points, 5 rebounds and 8 assists, while Alex Sarr is projected to have 19 points, 8 rebounds and 3 assists for the Wizards.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Nuggets prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Nuggets are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Jamal Murray	26	5	8	4	50
Aaron Gordon	19	7	4	2	38
Peyton Watson	18	7	2	2	37
Tim Hardaway	15	3	2	3	25
J. Valanciunas	10	6	2	0	24

Wizards prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Wizards:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Alex Sarr	19	8	3	1	41
Kyshawn George	16	5	5	2	36
Tre Johnson	14	3	3	2	26
Bub Carrington	13	5	6	2	32
Khris Middleton	13	4	4	1	28

Nuggets vs. Wizards game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's action between the Wizards and Nuggets at Capital One Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Denver Nuggets vs. Washington Wizards
• Date: Thursday, January 22, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Capital One Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Nuggets, with a 71% win probability, will likely beat the Wizards on Thursday, with Jamal Murray projected for a game-high 50 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Nuggets vs. Wizards insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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