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Nuggets vs. 76ers prediction: Why Philadelphia is favored to win Monday's NBA matchup [1/5/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Denver Nuggets vs Philadelphia 76ers predictions for NBA Monday.
The Philadelphia 76ers will face the Denver Nuggets in NBA action at Xfinity Mobile Arena on Monday, beginning at 8:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the 76ers as the most likely winner of the Nuggets vs. 76ers game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the 76ers lineup will feature stars like Tyrese Maxey, Joel Embiid and Paul George, while the Nuggets will rely on Peyton Watson, Julian Strawther and Spencer Jones.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Sixers vs. Sixers prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's NBA game between the Nuggets and 76ers 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the 76ers an 86% chance of beating the Nuggets. Our predicted final score has the 76ers winning 120-107.
According to our model, the Nuggets (+14.5) have a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the 228.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Nuggets vs. 76ers odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Nuggets | 76ers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +14.5 (-105) | -14.5 (-115) |
| Moneyline | +640 | -900 |
| Total | o228.5 (-108) | u228.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Nuggets vs. 76ers picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Nuggets +14.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Nuggets | +640 |
| Total | Over 228.5 | -108 |
According to our best NBA bets for Monday, the top play to make on this game is Nuggets +14.5 at the spread.
Nuggets vs. 76ers player props
Betting on Nuggets vs. 76ers NBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Xfinity Mobile Arena.
Peyton Watson is expected to lead the Nuggets with 17 points, 6 rebounds and 2 assists, while Tyrese Maxey is projected to have 27 points, 4 rebounds and 7 assists for the 76ers.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Nuggets prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Nuggets are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Watson | 17 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 33 |
| J. Strawther | 12 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 22 |
| Spencer Jones | 11 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 25 |
| Bruce Brown | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 27 |
| Jalen Pickett | 10 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 26 |
76ers prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the 76ers:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Maxey | 27 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 49 |
| Joel Embiid | 26 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 49 |
| Paul George | 17 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 37 |
| VJ Edgecombe | 17 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 36 |
| Quentin Grimes | 15 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 32 |
Nuggets vs. Sixers game-day updates and essential details
Monday's action between the 76ers and Nuggets at Xfinity Mobile Arena is scheduled to begin at 8:30 PM ET.
- Who: Denver Nuggets vs. Philadelphia 76ers
- Date: Monday, January 5, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: Xfinity Mobile Arena
Conclusion
We predict the 76ers, with an 86% win probability, will likely beat the Nuggets on Monday, with Tyrese Maxey projected for a game-high 49 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Nuggets vs. 76ers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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