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Nuggets vs. 76ers Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Nuggets vs. 76ers NBA game on January 5, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
125
124
Jan 6, 1:30AM Xfinity Mobile Arena
Jan 6, 1:30AM Xfinity Mobile Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nuggets | 29 | 29 | 67 | 0 | 125 |
76ers | 29 | 29 | 66 | 0 | 124 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
35%
65%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nuggets | 29 | 29 | 67 | 0 | 125 |
76ers | 29 | 29 | 66 | 0 | 124 |
OT1 00:00 Tyrese Maxey misses two point driving floating jump shot
OT1 00:04 Nuggets makes two point jump shot
OT1 00:10 Spencer Jones blocks Joel Embiid's two point tip layup
OT1 00:11 VJ Edgecombe misses two point driving layup
OT1 00:31 Peyton Watson misses two point jump shot
OT1 00:52 Tyrese Maxey misses three point jump shot
OT1 1:26 76ers makes two point jump shot
OT1 1:39 Nuggets misses two point jump shot
OT1 2:04 76ers misses three point jump shot
OT1 2:28 76ers misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
76ers offensive rebound
Tyrese Maxey misses two point driving floating jump shot
End of 1st OT.
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
125-124
Joel Embiid defensive goaltending violation
Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)
Spencer Jones blocks Joel Embiid's two point tip layup
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
VJ Edgecombe misses two point driving layup
Joel Embiid offensive rebound
VJ Edgecombe defensive rebound
Peyton Watson misses two point jump shot
Joel Embiid turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Nuggets 60 second timeout
VJ Edgecombe offensive rebound
Tyrese Maxey misses three point jump shot
Zeke Nnaji personal foul (Joel Embiid draws the foul)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Peyton Watson turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
125-124
Nuggets turnover (shot clock violation)
Nuggets offensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
Spencer Jones turnover (offensive foul)
Nuggets personal foul
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
Jalen Pickett turnover
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Quentin Grimes misses three point jump shot
Peyton Watson misses two point jump shot
Joel Embiid defensive rebound
VJ Edgecombe turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Tyrese Maxey defensive rebound
Bruce Brown misses two point jump shot
Bruce Brown offensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Quentin Grimes personal foul
+2
Joel Embiid makes two point jump shot
125-124
Nuggets turnover
76ers lineup change (Tyrese Maxey, Quentin Grimes, VJ Edgecombe, Paul George, Joel Embiid)
Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
125-124
Tyrese Maxey misses three point pullup jump shot
End of 4th Quarter.
Adem Bona (Jalen Pickett gains possession)
76ers lineup change (Tyrese Maxey, Adem Bona, VJ Edgecombe, Paul George, Joel Embiid)
76ers offensive rebound
Paul George defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Spencer Jones offensive rebound
Paul George blocks Peyton Watson's two point jump shot
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
125-124
Nuggets 60 second timeout
VJ Edgecombe defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
76ers turnover
Jalen Pickett turnover (VJ Edgecombe steals)
+3
76ers makes three point jump shot
125-124
Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
76ers turnover
Zeke Nnaji turnover
76ers lineup change (Tyrese Maxey, Quentin Grimes, VJ Edgecombe, Paul George, Joel Embiid)
Peyton Watson blocks VJ Edgecombe's three point jump shot
Bruce Brown misses regular free throw 2 of 3
+1
Bruce Brown makes regular free throw 3 of 3
125-124
Adem Bona shooting foul (Bruce Brown draws the foul)
+1
Bruce Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 3
125-124
Nuggets offensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
Joel Embiid misses two point layup
+3
Bruce Brown makes three point jump shot (Jalen Pickett assists)
125-124
+3
76ers makes three point jump shot
125-124
+2
Bruce Brown makes two point running finger roll layup
125-124
76ers turnover
+2
Zeke Nnaji makes two point jump shot
106-104
+3
VJ Edgecombe makes three point pullup jump shot (Adem Bona assists)
106-104
Nuggets turnover
Spencer Jones shooting foul (Tyrese Maxey draws the foul)
+1
Tyrese Maxey makes regular free throw 1 of 2
125-124
Nuggets 60 second timeout
+1
Tyrese Maxey makes regular free throw 2 of 2
125-124
+3
Zeke Nnaji makes three point jump shot
106-104
+3
76ers makes three point jump shot
125-124
Nuggets personal foul
76ers offensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
+1
Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
106-104
Quentin Grimes personal foul (Peyton Watson draws the foul)
Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Spencer Jones, Bruce Brown, Jalen Pickett, Peyton Watson)
+1
Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
125-124
+2
Joel Embiid makes two point jump shot
106-104
Nuggets turnover
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nuggets offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Joel Embiid makes two point jump shot
106-102
Joel Embiid offensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
Instant replay (Challenge)
Adem Bona personal foul
Adem Bona shooting foul (Peyton Watson draws the foul)
76ers 60 second timeout
+1
Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
125-124
+1
Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
125-124
Hunter Tyson defensive rebound
VJ Edgecombe misses two point cutting layup
76ers lineup change (Tyrese Maxey, Quentin Grimes, Adem Bona, VJ Edgecombe, Joel Embiid)
76ers 60 second timeout
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
125-124
Jalen Pickett defensive rebound
VJ Edgecombe misses three point jump shot
+3
Hunter Tyson makes three point jump shot
125-124
76ers personal foul
+1
Hunter Tyson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
125-124
Hunter Tyson defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
Adem Bona defensive rebound
Peyton Watson misses three point jump shot
Jalen Pickett defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Spencer Jones, Jalen Pickett, Hunter Tyson, Peyton Watson)
76ers lineup change (Tyrese Maxey, Quentin Grimes, Adem Bona, VJ Edgecombe, Paul George)
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
125-124
Julian Strawther defensive rebound
Jared McCain misses two point driving finger roll layup
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
96-100
Julian Strawther defensive rebound
Tyrese Maxey misses two point jump shot
+2
Spencer Jones makes two point jump shot
125-124
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
125-124
+2
Hunter Tyson makes two point jump shot
125-124
Paul George personal foul
+1
Hunter Tyson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
125-124
+3
76ers makes three point jump shot
125-124
Quentin Grimes defensive rebound
Hunter Tyson personal foul (Quentin Grimes draws the foul)
Hunter Tyson misses three point jump shot
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
125-124
+2
Zeke Nnaji makes two point jump shot (Julian Strawther assists)
125-124
76ers misses three point jump shot
76ers offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
76ers lineup change (Tyrese Maxey, Quentin Grimes, Adem Bona, Jared McCain, Paul George)
Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Julian Strawther, Spencer Jones, Jalen Pickett, Hunter Tyson)
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
125-124
+3
76ers makes three point jump shot
125-124
76ers personal foul
Zeke Nnaji misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Nuggets offensive rebound
+1
Zeke Nnaji makes regular free throw 2 of 2
125-124
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Quentin Grimes misses three point pullup jump shot
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
84-90
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
84-90
VJ Edgecombe defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+2
Joel Embiid makes two point jump shot
84-90
76ers personal foul
+1
Hunter Tyson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
120-120
+1
Hunter Tyson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
120-120
Nuggets 60 second timeout
76ers lineup change (Quentin Grimes, VJ Edgecombe, Jared McCain, Joel Embiid, Jabari Walker)
+3
Tyrese Maxey makes three point running jump shot
79-86
Nuggets turnover
Joel Embiid offensive rebound
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
120-120
Tyrese Maxey misses two point driving finger roll layup
+2
Bruce Brown makes two point putback layup
84-90
Bruce Brown offensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
76ers turnover
Nuggets turnover
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Joel Embiid makes regular free throw 1 of 2
106-104
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Julian Strawther, Bruce Brown, Hunter Tyson, Peyton Watson)
+1
Joel Embiid makes regular free throw 2 of 2
120-120
76ers lineup change (Tyrese Maxey, Quentin Grimes, Jared McCain, Joel Embiid, Jabari Walker)
Jabari Walker defensive rebound
Julian Strawther misses two point putback layup
Julian Strawther offensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nuggets offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
76ers personal foul
Jabari Walker offensive rebound
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
106-102
76ers misses two point jump shot
Jabari Walker offensive rebound
Tyrese Maxey misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Julian Strawther, Bruce Brown, Jalen Pickett, Peyton Watson)
Bruce Brown personal foul
+1
Tyrese Maxey makes regular free throw 1 of 2
106-102
Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Julian Strawther, Bruce Brown, Jalen Pickett, Peyton Watson)
Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Julian Strawther, Bruce Brown, Jalen Pickett, Peyton Watson)
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
77-77
76ers personal foul
+1
Bruce Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 1
106-102
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
106-102
VJ Edgecombe defensive rebound
Peyton Watson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
76ers personal foul
+1
Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
106-102
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
106-102
Peyton Watson turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
+3
76ers makes three point jump shot
106-102
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
87-93
76ers turnover
DaRon Holmes II turnover
76ers lineup change (Tyrese Maxey, Quentin Grimes, VJ Edgecombe, Joel Embiid, Jabari Walker)
Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Spencer Jones, Bruce Brown, Jalen Pickett, Peyton Watson)
76ers 60 second timeout
+3
VJ Edgecombe makes three point jump shot
96-100
+2
Peyton Watson makes two point jump shot
71-69
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
Nuggets personal foul
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
96-100
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets defensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
Nuggets personal foul
76ers offensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
DaRon Holmes II personal foul
76ers offensive rebound
Tyrese Maxey misses technical free throw 1 of 1
Spencer Jones personal foul (Joel Embiid draws the foul)
76ers offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
76ers misses three point jump shot
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
96-100
Jalen Pickett personal foul
+1
Joel Embiid makes regular free throw 1 of 2
96-100
+1
Joel Embiid makes regular free throw 2 of 2
96-100
Tyrese Maxey defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
76ers personal foul
76ers turnover
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
96-100
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
Joel Embiid defensive rebound
Peyton Watson misses two point jump shot
+3
76ers makes three point jump shot
96-100
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
96-100
+3
76ers makes three point jump shot
96-100
VJ Edgecombe blocks Bruce Brown's three point jump shot
End of 1st Half.
76ers misses three point jump shot
+3
Quentin Grimes makes three point jump shot
58-58
Nuggets offensive rebound
76ers lineup change (Tyrese Maxey, Dominick Barlow, VJ Edgecombe, Paul George, Joel Embiid)
+2
Peyton Watson makes two point jump shot
58-55
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
58-58
VJ Edgecombe defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Joel Embiid misses three point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
58-58
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
+2
Peyton Watson makes two point pullup jump shot (DaRon Holmes II assists)
58-58
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nuggets offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Quentin Grimes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
58-58
+1
Quentin Grimes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
58-58
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Jalen Pickett makes three point stepback jump shot (Peyton Watson assists)
58-58
Spencer Jones defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
49-51
76ers personal foul
76ers lineup change (Tyrese Maxey, Quentin Grimes, VJ Edgecombe, Paul George, Joel Embiid)
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Adem Bona turnover (lost ball)
Jared McCain misses three point running pullup jump shot
Joel Embiid defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
46-51
Joel Embiid offensive rebound
Joel Embiid misses two point jump shot
Jalen Pickett turnover (lost ball) (Tyrese Maxey steals)
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
58-58
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Nuggets lineup change (DaRon Holmes II, Spencer Jones, Bruce Brown, Jalen Pickett, Peyton Watson)
Quentin Grimes defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
58-58
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Tyrese Maxey makes regular free throw 1 of 1
58-58
+2
Hunter Tyson makes two point jump shot (DaRon Holmes II assists)
46-44
+3
Jared McCain makes three point jump shot (Quentin Grimes assists)
52-51
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
58-58
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Quentin Grimes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
49-51
+1
Quentin Grimes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
49-51
Adem Bona misses two point putback dunk
DaRon Holmes II turnover (bad pass)
Hunter Tyson misses three point jump shot
DaRon Holmes II offensive rebound
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Adem Bona offensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
Adem Bona misses two point putback dunk
Nuggets defensive rebound
Quentin Grimes misses three point jump shot
Instant replay (Challenge)
76ers personal foul
76ers 60 second timeout
76ers lineup change (Tyrese Maxey, Quentin Grimes, Adem Bona, Jared McCain, Joel Embiid)
Hunter Tyson misses two point layup
76ers defensive rebound
Nuggets lineup change (DaRon Holmes II, Spencer Jones, Bruce Brown, Jalen Pickett, Hunter Tyson)
76ers lineup change (Tyrese Maxey, Quentin Grimes, Adem Bona, Jared McCain, Joel Embiid)
Curtis Jones defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
41-39
Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
41-39
Nuggets personal foul
Adem Bona misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Jalen Pickett, Hunter Tyson, Curtis Jones, Peyton Watson)
Paul George defensive rebound
Julian Strawther misses three point stepback jump shot
+3
Paul George makes three point jump shot (Jared McCain assists)
41-39
Zeke Nnaji turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Zeke Nnaji offensive rebound
Zeke Nnaji misses three point pullup jump shot
Hunter Tyson defensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
+3
Hunter Tyson makes three point jump shot (Julian Strawther assists)
41-39
Adem Bona offensive rebound
+2
Adem Bona makes two point jump shot
41-39
VJ Edgecombe misses two point jump shot
+2
Julian Strawther makes two point driving layup
41-39
Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
Paul George misses three point pullup jump shot
+3
Zeke Nnaji makes three point jump shot
41-39
Jared McCain turnover (traveling)
VJ Edgecombe defensive rebound
Peyton Watson misses two point fadeaway bank jump shot
+3
Paul George makes three point jump shot
41-39
Paul George shooting foul (Julian Strawther draws the foul)
+1
Julian Strawther makes regular free throw 1 of 2
41-39
+1
Julian Strawther makes regular free throw 2 of 2
49-51
Quentin Grimes turnover
Quentin Grimes defensive rebound
Julian Strawther misses three point jump shot
+2
Adem Bona makes two point running layup (Quentin Grimes assists)
41-39
Hunter Tyson turnover (Paul George steals)
Adem Bona personal foul (Zeke Nnaji draws the foul)
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Julian Strawther shooting foul (Quentin Grimes draws the foul)
+1
Quentin Grimes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
41-39
Quentin Grimes misses regular free throw 2 of 2
76ers lineup change (Quentin Grimes, Adem Bona, VJ Edgecombe, Jared McCain, Paul George)
76ers offensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
End of 1st Quarter.
Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Julian Strawther, Hunter Tyson, Curtis Jones, Peyton Watson)
76ers lineup change (Quentin Grimes, Adem Bona, VJ Edgecombe, Jared McCain, Jabari Walker)
Adem Bona defensive rebound
Nuggets defensive rebound
76ers personal foul
Julian Strawther misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Nuggets offensive rebound
Julian Strawther misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Jared McCain misses three point jump shot
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
29-29
Nuggets defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
76ers misses two point jump shot
76ers personal foul
+1
Zeke Nnaji makes regular free throw 1 of 2
29-29
+1
Zeke Nnaji makes regular free throw 2 of 2
29-29
+3
76ers makes three point jump shot
29-26
Adem Bona defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
29-26
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Julian Strawther, Spencer Jones, Hunter Tyson, Curtis Jones)
Nuggets turnover
Julian Strawther defensive rebound
Quentin Grimes misses three point jump shot
Quentin Grimes defensive rebound
Zeke Nnaji misses two point jump shot
Zeke Nnaji offensive rebound
Curtis Jones misses three point jump shot
Tyrese Maxey turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Jabari Walker defensive rebound
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Game Prediction Article
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Nuggets vs. 76ers: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Nuggets vs. 76ers
- Date: Monday, January 5, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: Xfinity Mobile Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: 76ers favored at -14.5
- Total (Over/Under): 228.5
- Moneyline Odds: Nuggets +650, 76ers -900
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Nuggets: 14%
- 76ers: 86%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Nuggets 108-121 76ers.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nuggets a win probability of 14%, while the 76ers have a win probability of 86%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the 76ers are more likely to beat the Nuggets in the NBA game at Xfinity Mobile Arena on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Nuggets vs. 76ers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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