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Nuggets vs. Grizzlies prediction: Why Memphis is favored to win Sunday's NBA matchup [1/25/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies predictions for NBA Sunday.
NBA action continues on Sunday at 3:30 PM ET as the Denver Nuggets take on the Memphis Grizzlies at FedExForum.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Grizzlies as the most likely winner of the Nuggets vs. Grizzlies game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Grizzlies lineup will feature players like Jaren Jackson, Cedric Coward and Jock Landale, while the Nuggets will rely on Jamal Murray, Peyton Watson and Jonas Valanciunas.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NBA game between the Nuggets and Grizzlies 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Grizzlies a 66% chance of defeating the Nuggets. Our predicted final score has the Grizzlies winning 112-108.
According to our model, the Nuggets (+5.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 221.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Nuggets | Grizzlies |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +5.5 (-112) | -5.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +164 | -190 |
| Total | o221.5 (-108) | u221.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Nuggets +5.5 | -112 |
| Moneyline | Grizzlies | -190 |
| Total | Over 221.5 | -108 |
According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Grizzlies to win.
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies player props
NBA player props are a common way to wager on Sunday's Denver vs. Memphis matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at FedExForum.
Jamal Murray is expected to lead the Nuggets with 29 points, 4 rebounds and 7 assists, while Jaren Jackson is projected to have 20 points, 6 rebounds and 2 assists for the Grizzlies.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Nuggets prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Nuggets are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray | 29 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 51 |
| Peyton Watson | 19 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 39 |
| J. Valanciunas | 14 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 33 |
| Tim Hardaway | 11 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 19 |
| Jalen Pickett | 10 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 27 |
Grizzlies prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Grizzlies:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaren Jackson | 20 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 36 |
| Cedric Coward | 15 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 30 |
| Jock Landale | 14 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 31 |
| Cam Spencer | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 32 |
| Jaylen Wells | 13 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 24 |
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's action between the Grizzlies and Nuggets at FedExForum is scheduled to start at 3:30 PM ET.
- Who: Denver Nuggets vs. Memphis Grizzlies
- Date: Sunday, January 25, 2026
- Time: 3:30 PM ET/12:30PM PT
- Venue: FedExForum
Conclusion
We predict the Grizzlies, with a 66% win probability, will likely beat the Nuggets on Sunday, with Jamal Murray projected for a game-high 51 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Nuggets vs. Grizzlies insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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