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Broncos vs. Raiders prediction: Denver favored to win in NFL Week 14, 2025
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders predictions for NFL Sunday.
The Las Vegas Raiders will square off with the favored Denver Broncos in NFL Week 14 action at Allegiant Stadium on Sunday, starting at 4:05PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NFL model predicts the Broncos as the most likely winner of the Broncos vs. Raiders game.
This article offers further insights into this week's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Broncos vs. Raiders prediction: Who will win and cover?
Since our Broncos-Raiders predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Broncos and Raiders 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Broncos an 81% chance of beating the Raiders in Week 14 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Broncos winning 24-15.
According to our model, the bookies have got it right, and the Broncos and Raiders each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 40.5 points also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 14 straight up picks.
Broncos vs. Raiders odds
We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Broncos | Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -8.5 (-104) | +8.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -460 | +360 |
| Total | o40.5 (-105) | u40.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Broncos vs. Raiders picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Broncos -8.5 | -104 |
| Moneyline | Broncos | -460 |
| Total | Over 40.5 | -105 |
According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Broncos -8.5 at the spread.
Broncos vs. Raiders TD scorers
Who will score a touchdown in Broncos vs. Raiders?
According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for today, RJ Harvey is most likely to score an anytime TD in Broncos vs. Raiders.
Our projections give Harvey a 48.3% chance of scoring a TD at Allegiant Stadium, while the running back is a 13.4% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
Denver Broncos
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| RJ Harvey (RB) | 48.3% |
| Courtland Sutton (WR) | 33.3% |
| Troy Franklin (WR) | 26.9% |
| Pat Bryant (WR) | 20.6% |
| Bo Nix (QB) | 20.2% |
Las Vegas Raiders
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Ashton Jeanty (RB) | 40.7% |
| Brock Bowers (TE) | 33.2% |
| Tre Tucker (WR) | 21.9% |
| Tyler Lockett (WR) | 14.0% |
| Jack Bech (WR) | 12.4% |
First touchdown scorer predictions
Denver Broncos
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| RJ Harvey (RB) | 13.4% |
| Courtland Sutton (WR) | 8.3% |
| Troy Franklin (WR) | 6.4% |
| Pat Bryant (WR) | 4.7% |
| Bo Nix (QB) | 4.6% |
Las Vegas Raiders
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Ashton Jeanty (RB) | 11.5% |
| Brock Bowers (TE) | 8.9% |
| Tre Tucker (WR) | 5.4% |
| Tyler Lockett (WR) | 3.3% |
| Jack Bech (WR) | 2.9% |
Broncos vs Raiders player props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Broncos and Raiders. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 14 games.
Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Broncos' Bo Nix is projected for 237 passing yards. The Raiders' Geno Smith is expected to throw for 212 yards.
| Player | Proj. Pass Yards |
|---|---|
| Bo Nix (DEN) | 237 |
| Geno Smith (LV) | 212 |
Broncos rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| RJ Harvey | 52 |
| Jaleel McLaughlin | 28 |
| Bo Nix | 19 |
Raiders rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Ashton Jeanty | 55 |
| Geno Smith | 11 |
| Raheem Mostert | 6 |
Broncos receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Courtland Sutton | 53 |
| Troy Franklin | 45 |
| Pat Bryant | 36 |
| Evan Engram | 34 |
| Marvin Mims | 19 |
Raiders receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Brock Bowers | 60 |
| Tre Tucker | 44 |
| Jack Bech | 28 |
| Tyler Lockett | 27 |
| Ashton Jeanty | 26 |
Broncos vs. Raiders game-day updates and essential details
The NFL Week 14 matchup between the Raiders and Broncos at Allegiant Stadium is scheduled to start at 4:05PM ET.
- Who: Denver Broncos vs. Las Vegas Raiders
- Date: Sunday, December 7, 2025
- Time: 4:05PM ET/1:05PM PT
- Venue: Allegiant Stadium
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Conclusion
We predict the Broncos, with an 81% win probability, will likely beat the Raiders in Week 14 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Broncos vs. Raiders insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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