Broncos vs. Raiders prediction: Denver favored to win in NFL Week 14, 2025

The Las Vegas Raiders and Denver Broncos will lock horns in Week 14 of the NFL season at Allegiant Stadium on Sunday, starting at 4:05PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NFL model predicts the Broncos as the most likely winner of the Broncos vs. Raiders game.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Broncos vs. Raiders prediction: Who will win and cover?

Since our Broncos-Raiders predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Broncos and Raiders 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Broncos an 81% chance of beating the Raiders in Week 14 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Broncos winning 24-15.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Broncos and Raiders each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 40.5-point over/under also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 14 straight up picks.

Broncos vs. Raiders odds

We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Broncos	Raiders
Spread	-8.5 (-104)	+8.5 (-110)
Moneyline	-460	+360
Total	o40.5 (-105)	u40.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Broncos vs. Raiders picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Broncos -8.5	-104
Moneyline	Broncos	-460
Total	Over 40.5	-105

According to our best NFL bets, the top play to make on this game is Broncos -8.5 at the spread.

Broncos vs. Raiders TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Broncos vs. Raiders?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for today, RJ Harvey is most likely to score an anytime touchdown in Broncos vs. Raiders.

Our projections give Harvey a 48.4% chance of scoring a TD at Allegiant Stadium, while the running back is a 13.5% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Denver Broncos

Player	Anytime TD Probability
RJ Harvey (RB)	48.4%
Courtland Sutton (WR)	33.0%
Troy Franklin (WR)	27.2%
Pat Bryant (WR)	20.6%
Bo Nix (QB)	20.2%

Las Vegas Raiders

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Ashton Jeanty (RB)	40.7%
Brock Bowers (TE)	33.2%
Tre Tucker (WR)	22.1%
Tyler Lockett (WR)	14.0%
Jack Bech (WR)	12.4%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Denver Broncos

Player	First TD Probability
RJ Harvey (RB)	13.5%
Courtland Sutton (WR)	8.2%
Troy Franklin (WR)	6.5%
Pat Bryant (WR)	4.7%
Bo Nix (QB)	4.6%

Las Vegas Raiders

Player	First TD Probability
Ashton Jeanty (RB)	11.6%
Brock Bowers (TE)	9.0%
Tre Tucker (WR)	5.5%
Tyler Lockett (WR)	3.4%
Jack Bech (WR)	2.9%

Broncos vs Raiders player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Broncos and Raiders. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 14 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Broncos' Bo Nix is projected for 237 passing yards, while the Raiders' Geno Smith is expected to throw for 211 yards.

Player	Proj. Pass Yards
Bo Nix (DEN)	237
Geno Smith (LV)	211

Broncos rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
RJ Harvey	52
Jaleel McLaughlin	28
Bo Nix	20

Raiders rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Ashton Jeanty	56
Geno Smith	11
Raheem Mostert	6

Broncos receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Courtland Sutton	54
Troy Franklin	44
Pat Bryant	37
Evan Engram	33
Marvin Mims	19

Raiders receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Brock Bowers	59
Tre Tucker	44
Jack Bech	28
Tyler Lockett	27
Ashton Jeanty	26

Broncos vs. Raiders game-day updates and essential details

The NFL Week 14 matchup between the Raiders and Broncos at Allegiant Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:05PM ET.

• Who: Denver Broncos vs. Las Vegas Raiders
• Date: Sunday, December 7, 2025
• Time: 4:05PM ET/1:05PM PT
• Venue: Allegiant Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict the Broncos, with an 81% win probability, will likely beat the Raiders in Week 14 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Broncos vs. Raiders insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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