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Broncos vs. Texans prediction: Houston favored to win in NFL Week 9, 2025
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Denver Broncos vs Houston Texans predictions for NFL Sunday.
The Houston Texans will face the Denver Broncos in NFL Week 9 action at NRG Stadium on Sunday, starting at 1:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model predicts the Texans as the most likely winner of the Broncos vs. Texans game.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including touchdown scorer projections, best bets and player prop picks.
Broncos vs. Texans prediction: Who will win, cover the spread?
Since our Broncos-Texans predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Broncos and Texans 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Texans a 58% chance of defeating the Broncos in Week 9 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Texans winning 21-20.
According to our model, the Broncos (+2.5) have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 40.5 points has a 53% chance of going over.
To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 9 straight up picks.
Broncos vs. Texans odds
We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Broncos | Texans |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +2.5 (-115) | -2.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +115 | -125 |
| Total | o40.5 (-115) | u40.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Broncos vs. Texans picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Broncos +2.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Texans | -125 |
| Total | Over 40.5 | -115 |
According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Broncos +2.5 at the spread.
Broncos vs. Texans TD scorers
Who will score a touchdown in Broncos vs. Texans?
According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for Week 9, J.K. Dobbins is most likely to score an anytime TD in Broncos vs. Texans.
Our projections give Dobbins a 47.3% chance of getting in for six at NRG Stadium, while the wide receiver is a 9.5% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
Denver Broncos
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| J.K. Dobbins (RB) | 47.3% |
| Courtland Sutton (WR) | 38.5% |
| Troy Franklin (WR) | 33.9% |
| RJ Harvey (RB) | 25.1% |
| Evan Engram (TE) | 24.8% |
Houston Texans
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Nico Collins (WR) | 41.1% |
| Woody Marks (RB) | 36.3% |
| Nick Chubb (RB) | 22.3% |
| Dalton Schultz (TE) | 21.6% |
| Christian Kirk (WR) | 19.4% |
First touchdown scorer predictions
Denver Broncos
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| J.K. Dobbins (RB) | 9.5% |
| Courtland Sutton (WR) | 7.2% |
| Troy Franklin (WR) | 6.2% |
| RJ Harvey (RB) | 4.3% |
| Evan Engram (TE) | 4.2% |
Houston Texans
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Nico Collins (WR) | 11.0% |
| Woody Marks (RB) | 9.4% |
| Nick Chubb (RB) | 5.3% |
| Dalton Schultz (TE) | 5.1% |
| Christian Kirk (WR) | 4.5% |
Broncos vs Texans player props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Broncos and Texans. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 9 games.
Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Broncos' Bo Nix is projected for 217 passing yards, while the Texans' C.J. Stroud is expected to throw for 234 yards.
| Player | Proj. Pass Yards |
|---|---|
| Bo Nix (DEN) | 217 |
| C.J. Stroud (HOU) | 234 |
Broncos rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| J.K. Dobbins | 66 |
| Bo Nix | 25 |
| RJ Harvey | 20 |
Texans rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Nick Chubb | 42 |
| Woody Marks | 39 |
| C.J. Stroud | 18 |
Broncos receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Courtland Sutton | 60 |
| Troy Franklin | 47 |
| Evan Engram | 34 |
| Pat Bryant | 24 |
| RJ Harvey | 13 |
Texans receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Nico Collins | 70 |
| Christian Kirk | 35 |
| Dalton Schultz | 33 |
| Jaylin Noel | 23 |
| Xavier Hutchinson | 22 |
Broncos vs. Texans game-day updates and essential details
The NFL Week 9 game between the Texans and Broncos at NRG Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Denver Broncos vs. Houston Texans
- Date: Sunday, November 2, 2025
- Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: NRG Stadium
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Conclusion
We predict the Texans, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat the Broncos in Week 9 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Broncos vs. Texans insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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