Denis Shapovalov vs. Marcos Giron Prediction, Odds, Picks for ATP Mexico Open 2025

Denis Shapovalov will square off with Marcos Giron in the quarterfinals at the ATP Acapulco event on Thursday.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Denis Shapovalov as the most likely winner of the match.

"Using the latest data, we simulated Thursday's Shapovalov-Giron match 10,000 times," said Dimers data analyst Greg Butyn.

"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast Denis Shapovalov with a win probability of 62% and Marcos Giron with 38%."

For expanded analysis of Thursday's match, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Shapovalov vs. Giron predictions page.

READER EXCLUSIVE: Use code 20TENNIS at checkout now to get 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! Hurry, this offer won't last long.

Shapovalov vs. Giron Prediction: Who Will Win?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's Shapovalov-Giron men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Shapovalov a 62% chance of defeating Giron at the ATP Mexico Open tournament.

Additionally, Shapovalov has a 60% chance of winning the first set, according to our model.

For more insights into the growing popularity of betting on the sport, check out our comprehensive analysis of tennis' rise in the U.S. sports betting market.

Denis Shapovalov vs. Marcos Giron Odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Shapovalov	Giron
Moneyline	-227	+175
First Set	-189	+150

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Shapovalov vs. Giron Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Shapovalov vs. Giron match is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best tennis picks for every tournament throughout the year.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Shapovalov vs. Giron Updates and Essential Details

The ATP Mexico Open match between Denis Shapovalov and Marcos Giron is scheduled to begin on Thursday at 9:20PM ET.

• Who: Denis Shapovalov vs. Marcos Giron
• Date: Thursday, February 27, 2025
• Approx. Time: 9:20PM ET/6:20PM PT
• Tournament: ATP Acapulco, Mexico Men's Singles 2025
• Round: Quarterfinals

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Dimers.com's full preview of Thursday's Shapovalov vs. Giron match includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Denis Shapovalov vs. Marcos Giron picks, be sure to check out the latest tennis predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Sports Betting Deals Available for Thursday

To make the most of Thursday's massive day of sports, headlined by a big day of NHL and NBA, check out details on the latest Bet365 bonus code "DIMERS" that grants youa Bet $10, Get $150 in Bonus Bets If You Win offer in AZ, CO, DC, MA, MD, MI, NC, NJ, PA, VA, and WV. Don't miss out!

Conclusion

We predict Denis Shapovalov, with a 62% win probability, will likely beat Marcos Giron at the ATP Mexico Open tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Shapovalov vs. Giron insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on Tennis

Keep up with the latest tennis betting news, tennis best bets and parlay picks throughout the year. Plus, Dimers' ATP and WTA world rankings showcase our in-house approach to accurately ranking every men's and women's player in the world.