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Denis Shapovalov vs. Aleksandar Kovacevic prediction, odds, picks for ATP Dallas Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer
Get Shapovalov vs Kovacevic predictions for ATP Dallas Open.
Denis Shapovalov and Aleksandar Kovacevic are scheduled to meet in the round of 16 of the ATP Dallas Open event on Thursday.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Denis Shapovalov as the most likely winner of the Shapovalov vs. Kovacevic match.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.
Shapovalov vs. Kovacevic prediction: Who will win and advance to the quarterfinals?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's Shapovalov-Kovacevic men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives Shapovalov a 75% chance of beating Kovacevic at the ATP Dallas Open tournament.
Additionally, Shapovalov has a 72% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Shapovalov (-3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 23.5 games has a 60% chance of hitting**, according to our model.
Denis Shapovalov vs. Aleksandar Kovacevic odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Shapovalov | Kovacevic |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -281 | +240 |
| First Set | -227 | +175 |
| Game Spread | -3.5 (-106) | +3.5 (-128) |
| Total Games | o23.5 (-105) | u23.5 (-140) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Shapovalov vs. Kovacevic picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Shapovalov | -281 |
| First Set | Kovacevic | -140 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is *Denis Shapovalov to win.
Shapovalov vs. Kovacevic updates and essential details
The ATP Dallas Open match between Denis Shapovalov and Aleksandar Kovacevic is scheduled to commence on Thursday at 2:55 PM ET.
- Who: Denis Shapovalov vs. Aleksandar Kovacevic
- Date: Thursday, February 12, 2026
- Approx. Time: 2:55 PM ET/11:55AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Dallas, USA Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 16
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Denis Shapovalov, with a 75% win probability, will likely beat Aleksandar Kovacevic at the ATP Dallas Open tournament.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Shapovalov vs. Kovacevic insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
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