Denis Shapovalov vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction, Odds, Picks for ATP Mexico Open 2025

Denis Shapovalov will take on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the semifinals at the ATP Acapulco event on Friday.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Denis Shapovalov as the most likely winner of the match.

"Employing the latest data, we simulated Friday's Shapovalov-Davidovich Fokina match 10,000 times," said Dimers data analyst Greg Butyn.

"After computing the latest updates and thousands of other inputs, we predict Denis Shapovalov's chance of winning is 55%, while Alejandro Davidovich Fokina's is 45%."

For a closer look at Friday's match, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Shapovalov vs. Davidovich Fokina predictions page.

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Shapovalov vs. Davidovich Fokina Prediction: Who Will Win?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's Shapovalov-Davidovich Fokina men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Shapovalov a 55% chance of defeating Davidovich Fokina at the ATP Mexico Open tournament.

Additionally, Shapovalov has a 54% chance of winning the first set, according to our model.

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Denis Shapovalov vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Shapovalov	Davidovich Fokina
Moneyline	-189	+150
First Set	-164	+130

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Shapovalov vs. Davidovich Fokina Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Shapovalov vs. Davidovich Fokina match is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best tennis picks for every match throughout the year.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Shapovalov vs. Davidovich Fokina Updates and Essential Details

The ATP Mexico Open match between Denis Shapovalov and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is scheduled to commence on Friday at 10:20PM ET.

• Who: Denis Shapovalov vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
• Date: Friday, February 28, 2025
• Approx. Time: 10:20PM ET/7:20PM PT
• Tournament: ATP Acapulco, Mexico Men's Singles 2025
• Round: Semifinals

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Friday's Shapovalov vs. Davidovich Fokina match includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Denis Shapovalov vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina picks, be sure to check out the latest tennis predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict Denis Shapovalov, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at the ATP Mexico Open tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Shapovalov vs. Davidovich Fokina insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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