...
...
Read Article
Dayton vs. VCU prediction: Virginia Commonwealth favored to win men's college basketball matchup [3/15/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Dayton vs VCU predictions for college basketball Sunday.
VCU will square off with Dayton in men's college basketball action at PPG Paints Arena on Sunday, commencing at 1:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts Virginia Commonwealth as the most likely winner of the Dayton vs. VCU game.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Dayton vs. VCU prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NCAA basketball matchup between Dayton and VCU 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives Virginia Commonwealth a 60% chance of beating Dayton. Our predicted final score has Virginia Commonwealth winning 71-69.
According to our model, Dayton (+3.5) has a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the 139.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of going over.
Dayton vs. VCU odds
We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Dayton | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +3.5 (-118) | -3.5 (-102) |
| Moneyline | +140 | -160 |
| Total | o139.5 (-108) | u139.5 (-112) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Dayton vs. VCU picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Dayton +3.5 | -118 |
| Moneyline | Virginia Commonwealth | -160 |
| Total | Over 139.5 | -108 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 139.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Dayton vs. VCU game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's men's college basketball action between VCU and Dayton at PPG Paints Arena is scheduled to start at 1:00 PM ET.
- Who: Dayton vs. Virginia Commonwealth
- Date: Sunday, March 15, 2026
- Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: PPG Paints Arena
College basketball betting promos and codes
Make the most of Dimers' Dayton vs. Virginia Commonwealth predictions by exploring the below offers from Bet365 and BetMGM.
Bet365 Sportsbook
Join Bet365 Sportsbook! Bet $5, get $365 in bonus bets win or lose with code "DIMERS".
BetMGM
Sign up to BetMGM with code "DIMERS" now to unlock their 'Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win' offer.
Conclusion
We predict Virginia Commonwealth, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat Dayton on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Dayton vs. Virginia Commonwealth insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
Advertiser disclosure