Dayton vs. Saint Louis prediction: Saint Louis favored to win men's college basketball matchup [3/14/2026]

Saint Louis will square off with Dayton in men's college basketball action at PPG Paints Arena on Saturday, beginning at 1:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts Saint Louis as the most likely winner of the Dayton vs. Saint Louis game.

This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Dayton vs. Saint Louis prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NCAA basketball game between Dayton and Saint Louis 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Saint Louis a 69% chance of beating Dayton. Our predicted final score has Saint Louis winning 76-71.

According to our model, Saint Louis (-4.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the 145.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of going over.

Dayton vs. Saint Louis odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Dayton	Saint Louis
Spread	+4.5 (-104)	-4.5 (-110)
Moneyline	+180	-210
Total	o145.5 (-110)	u145.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Dayton vs. Saint Louis picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Saint Louis -4.5	-110
Moneyline	Saint Louis	-210
Total	Over 145.5	-110

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Saint Louis -4.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Dayton vs. Saint Louis game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's men's college basketball matchup between Saint Louis and Dayton at PPG Paints Arena is scheduled to begin at 1:00 PM ET.

• Who: Dayton vs. Saint Louis
• Date: Saturday, March 14, 2026
• Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: PPG Paints Arena

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Conclusion

We predict Saint Louis, with a 69% win probability, will likely beat Dayton on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Dayton vs. Saint Louis insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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