Dayton vs. UNC Wilmington prediction: Dayton favored to win NIT matchup [3/21/2026]

UNC Wilmington will square off with Dayton in NIT action at Raiford G. Trask Coliseum on Saturday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven college basketball model projects Dayton as the most likely winner of the Dayton vs. UNC Wilmington game.

This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Dayton vs. UNC Wilmington prediction: Who will win NIT matchup?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NCAA basketball matchup between Dayton and UNC Wilmington 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Dayton a 59% chance of defeating North Carolina-Wilmington. Our predicted final score has Dayton winning 70-68.

According to our model, North Carolina-Wilmington (+3.5) has a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 139.5 points has a 52% chance of going over.

Dayton vs. UNC Wilmington odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Dayton	UNC Wilmington
Spread	-3.5 (-108)	+3.5 (-110)
Moneyline	-170	+145
Total	o139.5 (-110)	u139.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Dayton vs. UNC Wilmington picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	North Carolina-Wilmington +3.5	-110
Moneyline	North Carolina-Wilmington	+145
Total	Over 139.5	-110

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is North Carolina-Wilmington +3.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Dayton vs. UNC Wilmington game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's men's college basketball game between UNC Wilmington and Dayton at Raiford G. Trask Coliseum is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Dayton vs. North Carolina-Wilmington
• Date: Saturday, March 21, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Raiford G. Trask Coliseum

College basketball betting and fantasy promos and codes

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Conclusion

We predict Dayton, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat North Carolina-Wilmington this men's National Invitational Tournament matchup.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Dayton vs. North Carolina-Wilmington insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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